Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United preview
In the upcoming match between Dungannon Swifts and Limavady United, the 1X2 probabilities show Dungannon Swifts at 39%, while Limavady United sits at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance according to our model. Dungannon Swifts has struggled recently, with a form of D-L-D-L-L-D, while Limavady United has a slightly better recent record of L-D-D-L-W-L.
The expected goals indicate Dungannon Swifts at 1.30 and Limavady United at 1.15. Both teams to score has a probability of 51%, suggesting a close contest. However, if either team improves their finishing or defensive performance, the match dynamics could shift, potentially impacting the predicted outcomes like Over 2.5 goals, which stands at 44%.
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United: model vs market
| Source | Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Limavady United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Published | 53% | 24% | 22% |
| Edge | -5% | +2% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.61, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dungannon Swifts, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 1.57 | 1.57 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.05 | -0.05 |
| Limavady United | 4.80 | 4.80 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dungannon Swifts and Limavady United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.45
- Attack rating (Dungannon Swifts / Limavady United)
- 0.74 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Dungannon Swifts / Limavady United)
- 1.06 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dungannon Swifts goals. Columns: Limavady United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 53% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Limavady United | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| No | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dungannon Swifts or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Limavady United) | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dungannon Swifts win by 2+ | 18% | 5.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dungannon Swifts and Limavady United recent form
Dungannon Swifts
0W 3D 3L
Limavady United
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dungannon Swifts at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Limavady United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-4
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dungannon Swifts at home only, Limavady United away only.
Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Dungannon Swifts 2 · draws 0 · Limavady United 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Limavady United | 0-2 | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2018-08-28 | Dungannon Swifts | 2-1 | Limavady United | League Cup |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Cliftonville FC vs Larne 2026-11-06
- Portadown v Ballymena United — match page 2026-11-07
- Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Bangor v Crusaders FC — match page 2026-11-07
- Linfield vs Coleraine FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Dungannon Swifts, previous: Linfield – Dungannon Swifts, 2026-10-31
- Limavady United, previous: Limavady United v Crusaders FC analysis