Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran preview
In the match between Carrick Rangers and Glentoran, the 1X2 probabilities show Glentoran at 50% and Carrick Rangers at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Glentoran's expected goals of 1.73 compared to Carrick Rangers' 1.15.
Both teams to score stands at 57%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 55%. Carrick Rangers' recent form includes 2 wins and 4 draws in their last 10 matches against Glentoran, who have won 4 of those encounters. A draw at 26% could disrupt predictions, especially given Carrick's recent form of L-D-D.
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran: model vs market
| Source | Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Published | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.17, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Glentoran, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | 2.96 | 2.90 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.62 | +0.00 |
| Glentoran | 2.07 | 2.07 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Carrick Rangers and Glentoran expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.88
- Attack rating (Carrick Rangers / Glentoran)
- 1.13 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Carrick Rangers / Glentoran)
- 1.46 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Carrick Rangers goals. Columns: Glentoran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 30% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Glentoran | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.74 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Carrick Rangers or draw) | 55% | 1.83 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Glentoran) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Glentoran win by 2+ | 28% | 3.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Carrick Rangers and Glentoran recent form
Carrick Rangers
2W 2D 2L
Glentoran
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Carrick Rangers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
Glentoran away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Carrick Rangers at home only, Glentoran away only.
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Carrick Rangers 2 · draws 4 · Glentoran 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Glentoran | 2-0 | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-03-03 | Glentoran | 1-0 | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-01-03 | Carrick Rangers | 0-7 | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-08-30 | Glentoran | 1-1 | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-03-15 | Carrick Rangers | 0-0 | Glentoran | Premiership |
| 2024-10-19 | Glentoran | 1-1 | Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| 2024-08-23 | Carrick Rangers | 2-3 | Glentoran | Premiership |
| 2024-02-10 | Glentoran | 2-2 | Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| 2023-11-04 | Glentoran | 2-3 | Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| 2023-09-30 | Carrick Rangers | 2-1 | Glentoran | Premiership |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Cliftonville FC vs Larne 2026-11-06
- Portadown v Ballymena United — match page 2026-11-07
- Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United 2026-11-07
- Bangor v Crusaders FC — match page 2026-11-07
- Linfield vs Coleraine FC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Carrick Rangers, previous: Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers prediction
- Glentoran, previous: Coleraine FC vs Glentoran: odds and pick