Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers preview
In the match between Cliftonville FC and Carrick Rangers, the 1X2 probabilities show Cliftonville FC at 42%, Carrick Rangers at 33%, with a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with an 8% probability. Both teams to score has a 61% likelihood, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 57%.
Cliftonville FC's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Carrick Rangers has 2 wins in their last 6. The expected goals are close, with Cliftonville FC at 1.48 and Carrick Rangers at 1.50. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is Cliftonville FC's struggle with form, which may impact their performance despite their strong head-to-head record of 8 wins in the last 10 encounters.
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers: model vs market
| Source | Cliftonville FC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Published | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cliftonville FC, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cliftonville FC | 2.05 | 2.05 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.80 | +0.00 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.89 | 2.89 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Cliftonville FC and Carrick Rangers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (Cliftonville FC / Carrick Rangers)
- 0.86 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Cliftonville FC / Carrick Rangers)
- 0.92 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cliftonville FC goals. Columns: Carrick Rangers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cliftonville FC | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Carrick Rangers | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cliftonville FC or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Carrick Rangers) | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cliftonville FC win by 2+ | 18% | 5.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cliftonville FC and Carrick Rangers recent form
Cliftonville FC
1W 0D 5L
Carrick Rangers
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cliftonville FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Carrick Rangers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cliftonville FC at home only, Carrick Rangers away only.
Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Cliftonville FC 8 · draws 0 · Carrick Rangers 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Carrick Rangers | 1-3 | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-01-17 | Cliftonville FC | 1-4 | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-10-25 | Carrick Rangers | 0-1 | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-09-06 | Carrick Rangers | 1-2 | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-04-01 | Carrick Rangers | 1-3 | Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| 2025-03-22 | Cliftonville FC | 3-0 | Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| 2025-02-12 | Cliftonville FC | 3-0 | Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| 2024-10-05 | Carrick Rangers | 2-0 | Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| 2024-01-26 | Carrick Rangers | 0-1 | Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| 2023-11-19 | Carrick Rangers | 0-3 | Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Coleraine FC v Glentoran — match page 2026-10-30
- Larne vs Portadown 2026-10-30
- Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Ballymena United vs Bangor 2026-10-31
- Limavady United v Crusaders FC — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Cliftonville FC, previous: Dungannon Swifts v Cliftonville FC analysis
- Carrick Rangers, previous: Carrick Rangers – Limavady United, 2026-10-24