Limavady United vs Crusaders FC preview
In the match between Limavady United and Crusaders FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Limavady United at 55%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). Limavady United has an expected goals figure of 1.87, while Crusaders FC sits at 1.08. This indicates a stronger attacking performance from Limavady United.
However, recent form could affect the outcome. Limavady United's last five matches show 2 wins and 3 draws, while Crusaders FC has only managed 1 win in their last six games. The model suggests Over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%, which could be impacted if either team struggles to convert chances.
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC: model vs market
| Source | Limavady United | Draw | Crusaders FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 25% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Limavady United and Crusaders FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (Limavady United / Crusaders FC)
- 0.82 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Limavady United / Crusaders FC)
- 0.99 / 1.49
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Limavady United goals. Columns: Crusaders FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Limavady United vs Crusaders FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Limavady United | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Crusaders FC | 21% | 4.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Limavady United or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Crusaders FC) | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Limavady United win by 2+ | 32% | 3.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Limavady United and Crusaders FC recent form
Limavady United
2W 1D 3L
Crusaders FC
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Limavady United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Crusaders FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-5
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Limavady United at home only, Crusaders FC away only.
Limavady United vs Crusaders FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Limavady United 1 · draws 1 · Crusaders FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Crusaders FC | 1-2 | Limavady United | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-07-10 | Crusaders FC | 0-0 | Limavady United | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-02-01 | Crusaders FC | 1-0 | Limavady United | Irish Cup |
| 2019-10-08 | Limavady United | 1-4 | Crusaders FC | League Cup |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Coleraine FC v Glentoran — match page 2026-10-30
- Larne vs Portadown 2026-10-30
- Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Ballymena United vs Bangor 2026-10-31
- Cliftonville FC vs Carrick Rangers — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Limavady United, previous: Larne vs Limavady United prediction
- Crusaders FC, previous: Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC: odds and pick