Coleraine FC vs Portadown preview
Coleraine FC faces Portadown with a strong 1X2 probability of 74% for Coleraine, compared to just 10% for Portadown. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Coleraine's expected goals of 2.06 against Portadown's 0.84. This suggests a solid advantage for Coleraine, who have won 9 of their last 10 encounters with Portadown.
However, the confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. Portadown's recent form includes two wins and a draw, which could disrupt Coleraine's plans. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 51%, showing that while Coleraine is favored, there is a possibility for Portadown to find the net. The Over 2.5 goals probability is 56%, hinting at a potentially open game.
Coleraine FC vs Portadown: model vs market
| Source | Coleraine FC | Draw | Portadown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Published | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Coleraine FC vs Portadown odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Coleraine FC, 9 snapshots since 2026-11-09.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coleraine FC | 1.15 | 1.18 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 7.20 | 6.35 | -0.85 |
| Portadown | 12.18 | 11.00 | -1.18 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Coleraine FC and Portadown expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Coleraine FC / Portadown)
- 1.30 / 0.70
- Defence rating (Coleraine FC / Portadown)
- 0.90 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Coleraine FC vs Portadown score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Coleraine FC goals. Columns: Portadown goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Coleraine FC vs Portadown goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Coleraine FC vs Portadown
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coleraine FC | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.15 | |
| Portadown | 10% | 10.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Coleraine FC or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Portadown) | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Coleraine FC win by 2+ | 41% | 2.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Coleraine FC and Portadown recent form
Coleraine FC
4W 1D 1L
Portadown
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Coleraine FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 11 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Portadown away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-6
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.86
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Coleraine FC at home only, Portadown away only.
Coleraine FC vs Portadown head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Coleraine FC 9 · draws 1 · Portadown 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Portadown | 0-3 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-07-18 | Coleraine FC | 3-0 | Portadown | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-02-10 | Coleraine FC | 2-1 | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-10-25 | Portadown | 0-2 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-09-13 | Portadown | 1-4 | Coleraine FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-03-22 | Coleraine FC | 1-0 | Portadown | Premiership |
| 2025-03-01 | Coleraine FC | 2-0 | Portadown | Premiership |
| 2024-09-17 | Portadown | 2-2 | Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| 2023-07-22 | Coleraine FC | 3-0 | Portadown | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-01-14 | Coleraine FC | 4-1 | Portadown | Premiership |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Ballymena United vs Linfield — team news & stats 2026-11-13
- Carrick Rangers v Crusaders FC — match page 2026-11-13
- Glentoran vs Bangor — team news & stats 2026-11-13
- Larne vs Dungannon Swifts 2026-11-13
- Limavady United v Cliftonville FC — match page 2026-11-13
Before and after this match
- Coleraine FC, previous: Linfield vs Coleraine FC: odds and pick
- Portadown, previous: Portadown – Ballymena United, 2026-11-07