Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC preview
In the fixture between Limavady United and Cliftonville FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Cliftonville FC at 57% to win, compared to Limavady United's 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals of 1.25 for Limavady United and 2.28 for Cliftonville FC.
Both teams have had mixed recent form, with Limavady United recording L-L-D-D-L-W and Cliftonville FC at W-W-W-L-L-L. The model indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 65%. However, if Limavady United can improve their form, it may lead to a different outcome than expected.
Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC: model vs market
| Source | Limavady United | Draw | Cliftonville FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| Published | 20% | 22% | 57% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cliftonville FC, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-08.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Limavady United | 3.93 | 4.33 | +0.40 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.96 | +0.06 |
| Cliftonville FC | 1.69 | 1.60 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Limavady United and Cliftonville FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.53
- Attack rating (Limavady United / Cliftonville FC)
- 0.86 / 1.38
- Defence rating (Limavady United / Cliftonville FC)
- 1.22 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Limavady United goals. Columns: Cliftonville FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Limavady United | 20% | 4.90 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | |
| Cliftonville FC | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Limavady United or draw) | 43% | 2.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Cliftonville FC) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cliftonville FC win by 2+ | 39% | 2.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Limavady United and Cliftonville FC recent form
Limavady United
1W 2D 3L
Cliftonville FC
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Limavady United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cliftonville FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Limavady United at home only, Cliftonville FC away only.
Limavady United vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Limavady United 1 · draws 0 · Cliftonville FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Limavady United | 1-0 | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2024-10-01 | Limavady United | 0-2 | Cliftonville FC | League Cup |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Ballymena United vs Linfield — team news & stats 2026-11-13
- Coleraine FC vs Portadown 2026-11-13
- Carrick Rangers v Crusaders FC — match page 2026-11-13
- Glentoran vs Bangor — team news & stats 2026-11-13
- Larne vs Dungannon Swifts 2026-11-13
Before and after this match
- Limavady United, previous: Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United: odds and pick
- Cliftonville FC, previous: Cliftonville FC vs Larne prediction