Glentoran vs Bangor preview
In the match between Glentoran and Bangor, the 1X2 probabilities show Glentoran at 63%, while Bangor sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 19% chance. Glentoran's expected goals are 1.20 compared to Bangor's 0.59, indicating a stronger attacking performance from Glentoran.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Both teams to score has a 32% chance, while Over 2.5 goals is at 27%. Bangor's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, which could challenge Glentoran's dominance in their head-to-head record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.
Glentoran vs Bangor: model vs market
| Source | Glentoran | Draw | Bangor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| Market | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Published | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Edge | -4% | +3% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Glentoran vs Bangor odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Glentoran, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-08.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | 1.31 | 1.34 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 5.05 | 4.75 | -0.30 |
| Bangor | 7.36 | 7.00 | -0.36 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Glentoran and Bangor expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.79
- Attack rating (Glentoran / Bangor)
- 0.79 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Glentoran / Bangor)
- 0.60 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Glentoran vs Bangor score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Glentoran goals. Columns: Bangor goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Glentoran vs Bangor goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Glentoran vs Bangor
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Glentoran | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.42 | |
| Bangor | 14% | 7.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.11 |
| No | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Glentoran or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Bangor) | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Glentoran win by 2+ | 23% | 4.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Glentoran and Bangor recent form
Glentoran
3W 3D 0L
Bangor
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Glentoran at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Bangor away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Glentoran at home only, Bangor away only.
Glentoran vs Bangor head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Glentoran 3 · draws 2 · Bangor 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Glentoran | 1-1 | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2026-03-10 | Bangor | 0-4 | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-11-28 | Bangor | 1-1 | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-08-16 | Glentoran | 1-0 | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership |
| 2025-02-28 | Bangor | 3-1 | Glentoran | Irish Cup |
| 2023-07-08 | Glentoran | 4-1 | Bangor | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Ballymena United vs Linfield — team news & stats 2026-11-13
- Coleraine FC vs Portadown 2026-11-13
- Carrick Rangers v Crusaders FC — match page 2026-11-13
- Larne vs Dungannon Swifts 2026-11-13
- Limavady United v Cliftonville FC — match page 2026-11-13
Before and after this match
- Glentoran, previous: Carrick Rangers v Glentoran analysis
- Bangor, previous: Bangor vs Crusaders FC prediction