Asane vs Haugesund preview
Asane faces Haugesund with a 15% chance of winning compared to Haugesund's 67%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. Asane has struggled recently, recording L-L-W-L-L-D, while Haugesund is in better form with W-L-W-D-W-W.
The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 68%. Asane's expected goals are 1.27, while Haugesund's are significantly higher at 2.70. This disparity in expected goals could lead to a different outcome if Asane manages to improve their performance.
Asane vs Haugesund: model vs market
| Source | Asane | Draw | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| Market | 15% | 17% | 67% |
| Published | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Asane vs Haugesund odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Haugesund, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asane | 6.03 | 6.03 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.25 | +0.00 |
| Haugesund | 1.36 | 1.36 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Asane and Haugesund expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.93
- Attack rating (Asane / Haugesund)
- 0.82 / 1.39
- Defence rating (Asane / Haugesund)
- 1.14 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asane vs Haugesund score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asane goals. Columns: Haugesund goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asane vs Haugesund goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asane vs Haugesund
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asane | 16% | 6.16 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.56 | |
| Haugesund | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asane or draw) | 34% | 2.92 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Haugesund) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win by 2+ | 41% | 2.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Asane and Haugesund recent form
Asane
2W 0D 4L
Haugesund
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asane at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-7
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.93
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haugesund away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-1-5
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.71
- Goals against / match
- 2.29
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 19 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Asane at home only, Haugesund away only.
Asane vs Haugesund head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Asane 0 · draws 1 · Haugesund 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Haugesund | 1-1 | Asane | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Ranheim v Sogndal — match page 2026-11-01
- Stromsgodset vs Moss — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF 2026-11-01
- hodd vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Egersund vs Strommen 2026-11-01
- Lyn v Raufoss — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Asane, previous: Asane v hodd analysis
- Haugesund, previous: Tromso vs Haugesund: odds and pick