Stromsgodset vs Moss preview
In the match between Stromsgodset and Moss, the 1X2 probabilities show Stromsgodset at 78%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-0 at 13%. Stromsgodset's expected goals stand at 2.59, while Moss has a much lower expected goals of 0.68. This indicates a strong likelihood of a Stromsgodset victory.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty. While the model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 46%, unexpected performances from Moss could alter the outcome. Recent form also shows Stromsgodset winning five of their last six matches, while Moss has been less consistent with only two wins in their last six games.
Stromsgodset vs Moss: model vs market
| Source | Stromsgodset | Draw | Moss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| Published | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.25, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Stromsgodset vs Moss odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Stromsgodset, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | 1.22 | 1.22 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 6.33 | 6.33 | +0.00 |
| Moss | 8.91 | 8.91 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Stromsgodset and Moss expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.48
- Attack rating (Stromsgodset / Moss)
- 1.54 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Stromsgodset / Moss)
- 0.57 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stromsgodset vs Moss score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stromsgodset goals. Columns: Moss goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stromsgodset vs Moss goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stromsgodset vs Moss
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 77% | 1.31 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.02 | |
| Moss | 9% | 10.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| No | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stromsgodset or draw) | 91% | 1.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or Moss) | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win by 2+ | 62% | 1.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stromsgodset and Moss recent form
Stromsgodset
5W 0D 1L
Moss
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stromsgodset at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-2-1
- Win rate
- 79%
- Goals for / match
- 2.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 18 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Moss away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-8
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.64
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Stromsgodset at home only, Moss away only.
Stromsgodset vs Moss head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Stromsgodset 0 · draws 1 · Moss 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Moss | 1-1 | Stromsgodset | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Ranheim v Sogndal — match page 2026-11-01
- ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF 2026-11-01
- Asane v Haugesund — match page 2026-11-01
- hodd vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Egersund vs Strommen 2026-11-01
- Lyn v Raufoss — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Stromsgodset, previous: Molde – Stromsgodset, 2026-10-28
- Moss, previous: Moss v Asane analysis