Moss vs Ranheim preview
In the match between Moss and Ranheim, the 1X2 probabilities show Moss at 40%, Ranheim at 38%, and a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 6% chance. Moss's expected goals are 1.52, while Ranheim's are higher at 2.24.
Both teams have mixed recent form, with Moss recording L-L-L-D-W-L and Ranheim W-L-W-W-D-L. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 71%. However, if Moss can improve their form and tighten their defense, they might challenge Ranheim's scoring potential.
Moss vs Ranheim: model vs market
| Source | Moss | Draw | Ranheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| Published | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Moss vs Ranheim odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Moss, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moss | 2.14 | 2.14 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 3.98 | -0.17 |
| Ranheim | 2.70 | 2.75 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Moss and Ranheim expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.76
- Attack rating (Moss / Ranheim)
- 0.68 / 1.37
- Defence rating (Moss / Ranheim)
- 1.02 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Moss vs Ranheim score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Moss goals. Columns: Ranheim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Moss vs Ranheim goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Moss vs Ranheim
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 39% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.38 | |
| Ranheim | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.42 |
| No | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Moss or draw) | 62% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Ranheim) | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Moss win by 2+ | 12% | 8.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Moss and Ranheim recent form
Moss
1W 1D 4L
Ranheim
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Moss at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-7
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 2.07
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ranheim away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-8
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.71
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Moss at home only, Ranheim away only.
Moss vs Ranheim head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Moss 1 · draws 1 · Ranheim 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Ranheim | 4-0 | Moss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-08-06 | Ranheim | 0-0 | Moss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-04-05 | Moss | 2-0 | Ranheim | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Stabaek vs Stromsgodset 2026-11-08
- Haugesund v ODD Ballklubb — match page 2026-11-08
- Sogndal vs hodd — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bryne vs Kongsvinger 2026-11-08
- Sandnes ULF v Asane — match page 2026-11-08
- Strommen vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Raufoss vs Egersund 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Moss, previous: Stromsgodset vs Moss prediction
- Ranheim, previous: Ranheim vs Sogndal: odds and pick