Bryne vs Kongsvinger preview
In the Norway 1. Division match between Bryne and Kongsvinger, the 1X2 probabilities show Bryne at 41%, Kongsvinger at 37%, and a draw at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 80% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance for both teams to score.
Bryne's recent form is W-L-D-L-D-L, while Kongsvinger has L-L-W-L-W-W. The expected goals indicate Bryne at 2.17 and Kongsvinger at 2.07. A key factor that could affect the outcome is Bryne's struggle in recent matches, as they have not secured a win against Kongsvinger in their last meeting.
Bryne vs Kongsvinger: model vs market
| Source | Bryne | Draw | Kongsvinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| Published | 41% | 24% | 35% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.43, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Bryne vs Kongsvinger odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bryne, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bryne | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.74 | +0.00 |
| Kongsvinger | 2.60 | 2.56 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bryne and Kongsvinger expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.14
- Attack rating (Bryne / Kongsvinger)
- 1.04 / 1.54
- Defence rating (Bryne / Kongsvinger)
- 0.79 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bryne vs Kongsvinger score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bryne goals. Columns: Kongsvinger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bryne vs Kongsvinger goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 77%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bryne vs Kongsvinger
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bryne | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Kongsvinger | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77% | 1.30 |
| No | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bryne or draw) | 65% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Kongsvinger) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bryne win by 2+ | 26% | 3.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bryne and Kongsvinger recent form
Bryne
1W 2D 3L
Kongsvinger
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bryne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-4-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Kongsvinger away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 18 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.9 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Bryne at home only, Kongsvinger away only.
Bryne vs Kongsvinger head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Bryne 0 · draws 0 · Kongsvinger 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Kongsvinger | 3-0 | Bryne | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Stabaek vs Stromsgodset 2026-11-08
- Haugesund v ODD Ballklubb — match page 2026-11-08
- Sogndal vs hodd — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Sandnes ULF v Asane — match page 2026-11-08
- Strommen vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Raufoss vs Egersund 2026-11-08
- Moss v Ranheim — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Bryne, previous: hodd vs Bryne: odds and pick
- Kongsvinger, previous: Kongsvinger v Stabaek analysis