Updated

Norway 1. Division · Matchday 30

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb

· Haugesund Stadion, Haugesund

Alin prediction Haugesund to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
HaugesundDrawODD Ballklubb
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.83.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Haugesund is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Haugesund1.47 Draw5.01 ODD Ballklubb5.50

Price as of

Expected return at 1.47: -10.8% per unit staked

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb preview

Haugesund faces ODD Ballklubb with a 48% chance of winning compared to ODD's 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 8% of the time according to our model. Haugesund's expected goals stand at 2.33, while ODD Ballklubb's is 1.86.

Both teams to score has a 77% probability, and there is a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 79%. However, Haugesund's recent form shows inconsistency with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, which could affect their performance. ODD Ballklubb has been more stable, winning four of their last five games, presenting a potential challenge for Haugesund.

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHaugesundDrawODD Ballklubb
Model51%20%28%
Market64%18%18%
Published61%19%20%
Edge-3%+1%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.83.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Haugesund, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 1.47Now 1.44 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Haugesund1.471.44-0.03
Draw4.955.00+0.05
ODD Ballklubb5.005.20+0.20

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Haugesund and ODD Ballklubb expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.44Haugesund
1.83ODD Ballklubb
Total expected goals
4.28
Attack rating (Haugesund / ODD Ballklubb)
1.31 / 1.25
Defence rating (Haugesund / ODD Ballklubb)
0.92 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 1.0% 1 2.8% 6.8% 5.7% 3.5% 2.4% 2 4.1% 7.6% 7.0% 4.3% 3.0% 3 3.4% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 2.4% 4+ 3.7% 6.8% 6.2% 3.8% 2.6%

Rows: Haugesund goals. Columns: ODD Ballklubb goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 80%
Over 3.5 62%
Both teams to score
77%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Haugesund61%1.65
Draw19%5.29
ODD Ballklubb20%4.91
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580%1.25
Under 2.520%4.99
Both teams to scoreYes77%1.29
No23%4.41
Double chance1X (Haugesund or draw)80%1.26
12 (either side)81%1.23
X2 (draw or ODD Ballklubb)39%2.54
Handicap -1Haugesund win by 2+32%3.09
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Haugesund and ODD Ballklubb recent form

Haugesund 3W 1D 2L
ODD Ballklubb 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Haugesund at home

Record (W-D-L)
12-1-1
Win rate
86%
Goals for / match
3.07
Goals against / match
1.07
Clean sheets
5 of 14
  • They have won 20 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

ODD Ballklubb away

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-5
Win rate
43%
Goals for / match
1.79
Goals against / match
1.93
Clean sheets
3 of 14
  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Haugesund at home only, ODD Ballklubb away only.

Haugesund vs ODD Ballklubb head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Haugesund 1 · draws 0 · ODD Ballklubb 0.

HaugesundDrawsODD Ballklubb
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-05ODD Ballklubb1-3HaugesundNorway 1. Division

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Haugesund to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Haugesund