Updated

Norway 1. Division · Matchday 30

Sandnes ULF vs Asane

Alin prediction Sandnes ULF to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Sandnes ULFDrawAsane
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sandnes ULF is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Sandnes ULF1.39 Draw5.25 Asane7.50

Price as of

Expected return at 1.39: -14.5% per unit staked

Sandnes ULF vs Asane preview

In the match between Sandnes ULF and Asane, the 1X2 probabilities show Sandnes ULF at 61% to win, while Asane is at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both sit at 72%.

Sandnes ULF's recent form includes 3 draws and 2 losses, while Asane has 3 wins and 2 losses. The expected goals are 1.94 for Sandnes ULF and 1.77 for Asane. Despite Sandnes ULF's higher win probability, their recent form could lead to a different outcome than predicted.

Sandnes ULF vs Asane: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSandnes ULFDrawAsane
Model42%23%35%
Market68%18%14%
Published61%19%19%
Edge-7%+1%+5%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Sandnes ULF vs Asane odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Sandnes ULF, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 1.36Now 1.33 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Sandnes ULF1.361.33-0.03
Draw5.245.05-0.19
Asane6.346.50+0.16

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Sandnes ULF and Asane expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.94Sandnes ULF
1.77Asane
Total expected goals
3.71
Attack rating (Sandnes ULF / Asane)
0.95 / 0.89
Defence rating (Sandnes ULF / Asane)
1.25 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Sandnes ULF vs Asane score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.5% 1 3.9% 9.2% 7.4% 4.4% 2.9% 2 4.6% 8.2% 7.2% 4.3% 2.8% 3 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.8% 4+ 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 1.4%

Rows: Sandnes ULF goals. Columns: Asane goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Sandnes ULF vs Asane goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 72%
Over 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
72%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Sandnes ULF vs Asane

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Sandnes ULF61%1.63
Draw19%5.19
Asane19%5.20
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572%1.40
Under 2.528%3.53
Both teams to scoreYes72%1.39
No28%3.56
Double chance1X (Sandnes ULF or draw)81%1.24
12 (either side)81%1.24
X2 (draw or Asane)39%2.60
Handicap -1Sandnes ULF win by 2+24%4.25
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Sandnes ULF and Asane recent form

Sandnes ULF 1W 3D 2L
Asane 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Sandnes ULF at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-3-6
Win rate
36%
Goals for / match
1.57
Goals against / match
1.64
Clean sheets
3 of 14
  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Asane away

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-9
Win rate
14%
Goals for / match
1.07
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 14
  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Sandnes ULF at home only, Asane away only.

Sandnes ULF vs Asane head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Sandnes ULF 0 · draws 0 · Asane 1.

Sandnes ULFDrawsAsane
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-20Asane2-0Sandnes ULFNorway 1. Division

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Sandnes ULF to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Sandnes ULF