Sogndal vs hodd preview
In the upcoming match between Sogndal and Hodd, the 1X2 probabilities show Sogndal at 53%, Hodd at 26%, and a draw at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Sogndal has an expected goals figure of 2.28, while Hodd is at 1.57.
Both teams to score has a 72% probability, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 74%. Recent form shows Sogndal with 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 games, while Hodd has 1 win and 5 losses. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. Factors like unexpected player performances or defensive errors could influence the outcome.
Sogndal vs hodd: model vs market
| Source | Sogndal | Draw | hodd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| Published | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| Edge | -3% | +1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.38.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sogndal vs hodd odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sogndal, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sogndal | 1.33 | 1.31 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 5.40 | 5.35 | -0.05 |
| hodd | 6.80 | 6.83 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sogndal and hodd expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.72
- Attack rating (Sogndal / hodd)
- 0.96 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Sogndal / hodd)
- 0.95 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sogndal vs hodd score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sogndal goals. Columns: hodd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sogndal vs hodd goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sogndal vs hodd
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sogndal | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.56 | |
| hodd | 15% | 6.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.46 |
| No | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sogndal or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or hodd) | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sogndal win by 2+ | 37% | 2.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sogndal and hodd recent form
Sogndal
2W 1D 3L
hodd
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sogndal at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.64
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
hodd away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-8
- Win rate
- 21%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 2.36
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sogndal at home only, hodd away only.
Sogndal vs hodd head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Sogndal 1 · draws 1 · hodd 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | hodd | 2-2 | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-08-06 | Sogndal | 2-1 | hodd | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-05-11 | hodd | 2-1 | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Stabaek vs Stromsgodset 2026-11-08
- Haugesund v ODD Ballklubb — match page 2026-11-08
- Bryne vs Kongsvinger 2026-11-08
- Sandnes ULF v Asane — match page 2026-11-08
- Strommen vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Raufoss vs Egersund 2026-11-08
- Moss v Ranheim — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Sogndal, previous: Ranheim vs Sogndal: odds and pick
- hodd, previous: hodd vs Bryne: odds and pick