Strommen vs Lyn preview
In the match between Strommen and Lyn, the 1X2 probabilities show Strommen at 54% to win, while Lyn is at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Strommen has a strong expected goals figure of 2.54 compared to Lyn's 1.76, suggesting a higher likelihood of scoring.
However, Lyn has won their last head-to-head encounter, which could influence the match outcome. Both teams to score has a high probability of 77%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 80%. Strommen's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Lyn has struggled with 3 losses in their last 5.
Strommen vs Lyn: model vs market
| Source | Strommen | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 22% | 39% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Published | 40% | 24% | 37% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.41, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Strommen vs Lyn odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Strommen, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strommen | 2.22 | 2.33 | +0.11 |
| Draw | 3.71 | 3.75 | +0.04 |
| Lyn | 2.77 | 2.55 | -0.22 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Strommen and Lyn expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.16
- Attack rating (Strommen / Lyn)
- 1.19 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Strommen / Lyn)
- 1.18 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Strommen vs Lyn score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Strommen goals. Columns: Lyn goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Strommen vs Lyn goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 77%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Strommen vs Lyn
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Strommen | 40% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Lyn | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 4.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77% | 1.29 |
| No | 23% | 4.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Strommen or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Lyn) | 60% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Strommen win by 2+ | 23% | 4.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Strommen and Lyn recent form
Strommen
3W 2D 1L
Lyn
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Strommen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-5
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lyn away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Strommen at home only, Lyn away only.
Strommen vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Strommen 0 · draws 0 · Lyn 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Lyn | 1-0 | Strommen | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Stabaek vs Stromsgodset 2026-11-08
- Haugesund v ODD Ballklubb — match page 2026-11-08
- Sogndal vs hodd — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bryne vs Kongsvinger 2026-11-08
- Sandnes ULF v Asane — match page 2026-11-08
- Raufoss vs Egersund 2026-11-08
- Moss v Ranheim — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Strommen, previous: Egersund vs Strommen prediction
- Lyn, previous: Lyn – Raufoss, 2026-11-01