Raufoss vs Egersund preview
In the upcoming match between Raufoss and Egersund, the 1X2 probabilities show Egersund at 51%, while Raufoss sits at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, which has a 9% chance of occurring. Egersund has a strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Raufoss has lost 5 of their last 6 games.
The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 72%. Raufoss has expected goals of 1.62 compared to Egersund's 2.25. If Raufoss can improve their form, it could challenge Egersund's dominance, as shown by their head-to-head record of 3 wins for Egersund in the last 3 encounters.
Raufoss vs Egersund: model vs market
| Source | Raufoss | Draw | Egersund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Published | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.82, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Raufoss vs Egersund odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Egersund, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raufoss | 3.73 | 3.87 | +0.14 |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.87 | +0.09 |
| Egersund | 1.83 | 1.75 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Raufoss and Egersund expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.85
- Attack rating (Raufoss / Egersund)
- 0.69 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Raufoss / Egersund)
- 1.50 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Raufoss vs Egersund score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Raufoss goals. Columns: Egersund goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Raufoss vs Egersund goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Raufoss vs Egersund
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raufoss | 23% | 4.35 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 | |
| Egersund | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Raufoss or draw) | 46% | 2.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Egersund) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win by 2+ | 39% | 2.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Raufoss and Egersund recent form
Raufoss
0W 1D 5L
Egersund
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Raufoss at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-9
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 1.79
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Egersund away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-8
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 2.57
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Raufoss at home only, Egersund away only.
Raufoss vs Egersund head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Raufoss 0 · draws 0 · Egersund 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Egersund | 2-1 | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-10-18 | Egersund | 4-0 | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-04-28 | Raufoss | 0-1 | Egersund | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Stabaek vs Stromsgodset 2026-11-08
- Haugesund v ODD Ballklubb — match page 2026-11-08
- Sogndal vs hodd — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Bryne vs Kongsvinger 2026-11-08
- Sandnes ULF v Asane — match page 2026-11-08
- Strommen vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Moss v Ranheim — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Raufoss, previous: Lyn – Raufoss, 2026-11-01
- Egersund, previous: Egersund vs Strommen prediction