Egersund vs Strommen preview
Egersund faces Strommen with a 46% chance of winning compared to Strommen's 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an expected goals total of 2.12 for Egersund and 2.44 for Strommen. The high probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams to score at 81% suggest a potentially high-scoring match.
However, recent form shows Egersund has drawn three times and won once in their last six matches, while Strommen has won three of their last six. This could affect the outcome, as Egersund's struggle for consistency may give Strommen an edge. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Egersund vs Strommen: model vs market
| Source | Egersund | Draw | Strommen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 20% | 46% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Published | 46% | 23% | 32% |
| Edge | -4% | -1% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Egersund vs Strommen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Egersund, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egersund | 1.87 | 1.87 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.88 | 3.88 | +0.00 |
| Strommen | 3.45 | 3.45 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Egersund and Strommen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.56
- Attack rating (Egersund / Strommen)
- 0.99 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Egersund / Strommen)
- 1.20 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Egersund vs Strommen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Egersund goals. Columns: Strommen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Egersund vs Strommen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 81%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Egersund vs Strommen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 46% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.37 | |
| Strommen | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81% | 1.24 |
| No | 19% | 5.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Egersund or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Strommen) | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win by 2+ | 19% | 5.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Egersund and Strommen recent form
Egersund
1W 3D 2L
Strommen
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Egersund at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Strommen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-7
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 2.21
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Egersund at home only, Strommen away only.
Egersund vs Strommen head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Egersund 1 · draws 0 · Strommen 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Strommen | 0-3 | Egersund | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Ranheim v Sogndal — match page 2026-11-01
- Stromsgodset vs Moss — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF 2026-11-01
- Asane v Haugesund — match page 2026-11-01
- hodd vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Lyn v Raufoss — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Egersund, previous: Egersund vs Bryne: odds and pick
- Strommen, previous: Strommen vs Stromsgodset prediction