Ranheim vs Sogndal preview
In the fixture between Ranheim and Sogndal, the 1X2 probabilities show Ranheim at 59%, Sogndal at 22%, and a draw at 19%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, which has an 8% probability. The expected goals indicate Ranheim at 2.71 and Sogndal at 1.67, suggesting a strong offensive performance from Ranheim.
However, the recent form could challenge this prediction. Ranheim has a record of W-W-D-L-W-W, while Sogndal has struggled with W-D-L-L-L-D. Additionally, while our model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams to score at 76%, any unexpected defensive improvements from Sogndal could alter the outcome.
Ranheim vs Sogndal: model vs market
| Source | Ranheim | Draw | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| Published | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 1.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ranheim vs Sogndal odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ranheim, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ranheim | 1.77 | 1.77 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.00 |
| Sogndal | 3.48 | 3.48 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ranheim and Sogndal expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.37
- Attack rating (Ranheim / Sogndal)
- 1.47 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Ranheim / Sogndal)
- 1.08 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ranheim vs Sogndal score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ranheim goals. Columns: Sogndal goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ranheim vs Sogndal goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 77%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ranheim vs Sogndal
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ranheim | 53% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.73 | |
| Sogndal | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77% | 1.29 |
| No | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ranheim or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Sogndal) | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ranheim win by 2+ | 36% | 2.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ranheim and Sogndal recent form
Ranheim
4W 1D 1L
Sogndal
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ranheim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.07
- Goals against / match
- 2.14
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sogndal away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-9
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 2.71
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ranheim at home only, Sogndal away only.
Ranheim vs Sogndal head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Ranheim 1 · draws 0 · Sogndal 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Sogndal | 3-2 | Ranheim | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-11-08 | Sogndal | 0-3 | Ranheim | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-04-21 | Ranheim | 1-2 | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Stromsgodset vs Moss — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF 2026-11-01
- Asane v Haugesund — match page 2026-11-01
- hodd vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Egersund vs Strommen 2026-11-01
- Lyn v Raufoss — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Ranheim, previous: Ranheim vs Fredrikstad: odds and pick
- Sogndal, previous: Lillestrom vs Sogndal prediction