Updated

Norway 1. Division · Matchday 29

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF

· Skagerak Arena, Skien

Alin prediction ODD Ballklubb to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
ODD BallklubbDrawSandnes ULF
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.27.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
ODD Ballklubb1.75 Draw5.12 Sandnes ULF3.90

Price as of

Expected return at 1.75: +2.0% per unit staked

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF preview

ODD Ballklubb has a 73% chance to win against Sandnes ULF, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 at 8%. The model also indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams to score at 67%. ODD Ballklubb's expected goals stand at 3.00, while Sandnes ULF's is significantly lower at 1.21.

However, ODD Ballklubb recently lost their last match, which could affect their confidence. Sandnes ULF has shown mixed form, with 1 win in their last 6 matches. This inconsistency could lead to an unexpected result, particularly if Sandnes ULF manages to improve their performance on the day.

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceODD BallklubbDrawSandnes ULF
Model68%17%15%
Market55%20%25%
Published58%19%23%
Edge+3%-1%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.27.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices ODD Ballklubb below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF odds movement

Median bookmaker price on ODD Ballklubb, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.67Now 1.67 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
ODD Ballklubb1.671.67+0.00
Draw4.704.70+0.00
Sandnes ULF3.613.61+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

ODD Ballklubb and Sandnes ULF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.76ODD Ballklubb
1.27Sandnes ULF
Total expected goals
4.02
Attack rating (ODD Ballklubb / Sandnes ULF)
1.20 / 0.85
Defence rating (ODD Ballklubb / Sandnes ULF)
0.94 / 1.20

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.4% 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 1 4.3% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2 6.8% 8.6% 5.5% 2.3% 1.0% 3 6.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.9% 4+ 8.4% 10.6% 6.7% 2.8% 1.2%

Rows: ODD Ballklubb goals. Columns: Sandnes ULF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 77%
Over 3.5 57%
Both teams to score
68%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2ODD Ballklubb58%1.72
Draw19%5.26
Sandnes ULF23%4.40
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577%1.31
Under 2.523%4.26
Both teams to scoreYes68%1.47
No32%3.11
Double chance1X (ODD Ballklubb or draw)77%1.29
12 (either side)81%1.23
X2 (draw or Sandnes ULF)42%2.40
Handicap -1ODD Ballklubb win by 2+48%2.07
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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ODD Ballklubb and Sandnes ULF recent form

ODD Ballklubb 4W 0D 2L
Sandnes ULF 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

ODD Ballklubb at home

Record (W-D-L)
7-3-4
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.07
Goals against / match
1.14
Clean sheets
4 of 14
  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Sandnes ULF away

Record (W-D-L)
3-2-9
Win rate
21%
Goals for / match
1.21
Goals against / match
2.29
Clean sheets
2 of 14
  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: ODD Ballklubb at home only, Sandnes ULF away only.

ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: ODD Ballklubb 1 · draws 0 · Sandnes ULF 0.

ODD BallklubbDrawsSandnes ULF
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-11Sandnes ULF1-3ODD BallklubbNorway 1. Division

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot ODD Ballklubb to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on ODD Ballklubb