Lyn vs Raufoss preview
In the match between Lyn and Raufoss, the 1X2 probabilities show Lyn at 65%, while Raufoss sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Lyn's expected goals are 2.63, compared to Raufoss's 1.34, suggesting a strong attacking performance from Lyn.
However, Lyn's recent form includes 4 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their confidence. Raufoss has also struggled, with 5 losses in their last 6 games. Despite Lyn's head-to-head advantage with 3 wins against Raufoss, their current form may lead to unexpected results, affecting predictions for Over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 69%.
Lyn vs Raufoss: model vs market
| Source | Lyn | Draw | Raufoss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| Published | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Lyn vs Raufoss odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Lyn, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyn | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.80 | 4.80 | +0.00 |
| Raufoss | 6.03 | 6.03 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Lyn and Raufoss expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.97
- Attack rating (Lyn / Raufoss)
- 0.93 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Lyn / Raufoss)
- 1.10 / 1.49
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lyn vs Raufoss score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lyn goals. Columns: Raufoss goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lyn vs Raufoss goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lyn vs Raufoss
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.26 | |
| Raufoss | 16% | 6.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lyn or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Raufoss) | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyn win by 2+ | 45% | 2.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Lyn and Raufoss recent form
Lyn
1W 0D 5L
Raufoss
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lyn at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-8
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Raufoss away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-11
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Lyn at home only, Raufoss away only.
Lyn vs Raufoss head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Lyn 3 · draws 0 · Raufoss 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Raufoss | 0-1 | Lyn | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-08-02 | Raufoss | 0-3 | Lyn | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-06-18 | Lyn | 3-2 | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Ranheim v Sogndal — match page 2026-11-01
- Stromsgodset vs Moss — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF 2026-11-01
- Asane v Haugesund — match page 2026-11-01
- hodd vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Egersund vs Strommen 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Lyn, previous: Tromsdalen Uil v Lyn analysis
- Raufoss, previous: Raufoss vs Ranheim: odds and pick