hodd vs Raufoss preview
In the match between Hodd and Raufoss, the 1X2 probabilities show Hodd at 61% to win, while Raufoss sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with an 83% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 77% chance for both teams to score. Hodd's expected goals are 2.84 compared to Raufoss's 1.70.
However, Hodd's recent form has been inconsistent with 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Raufoss has won 2 of their last 5. The head-to-head record also favors Raufoss, who has 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 encounters. This could impact the outcome and challenge the predicted probabilities.
hodd vs Raufoss: model vs market
| Source | hodd | Draw | Raufoss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.85 vs 1.69.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
hodd and Raufoss expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.54
- Attack rating (hodd / Raufoss)
- 1.05 / 0.79
- Defence rating (hodd / Raufoss)
- 1.32 / 1.43
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
hodd vs Raufoss score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: hodd goals. Columns: Raufoss goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
hodd vs Raufoss goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 77%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for hodd vs Raufoss
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | hodd | 61% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.56 | |
| Raufoss | 21% | 4.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77% | 1.29 |
| No | 23% | 4.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (hodd or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Raufoss) | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | hodd win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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hodd and Raufoss recent form
hodd
1W 1D 4L
Raufoss
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
hodd at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-4
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Raufoss away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-9
- Win rate
- 18%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.73
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 11
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: hodd at home only, Raufoss away only.
hodd vs Raufoss head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: hodd 0 · draws 1 · Raufoss 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Raufoss | 1-1 | hodd | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-08-30 | hodd | 2-4 | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-06-21 | Raufoss | 6-1 | hodd | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Stromsgodset vs Haugesund 2026-10-18
- Egersund v Sogndal — match page 2026-10-18
- Ranheim vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen 2026-10-18
- Kongsvinger v Sandnes ULF — match page 2026-10-18
- Asane vs Stabaek — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Lyn v Moss — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- hodd, previous: hodd – Ranheim, 2026-10-14
- hodd, next: Asane v hodd analysis
- Raufoss, previous: Bryne vs Raufoss prediction