Asane vs Stabaek preview
In the upcoming match between Asane and Stabaek, the 1X2 probabilities show Stabaek at 47%, Asane at 29%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both have a strong likelihood at 68%.
Asane's recent form includes 1 win, 2 losses, and 3 draws, while Stabaek has 1 win, 4 losses, and 1 draw. The expected goals are 1.53 for Asane and 1.97 for Stabaek. The head-to-head record indicates Stabaek has 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 encounters against Asane. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty.
Asane vs Stabaek: model vs market
| Source | Asane | Draw | Stabaek |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 21% | 58% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 21% | 58% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.46.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Asane and Stabaek expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.85
- Attack rating (Asane / Stabaek)
- 0.82 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Asane / Stabaek)
- 1.34 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asane vs Stabaek score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asane goals. Columns: Stabaek goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asane vs Stabaek goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asane vs Stabaek
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asane | 22% | 4.58 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.84 | |
| Stabaek | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.42 |
| No | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asane or draw) | 42% | 2.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Stabaek) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win by 2+ | 37% | 2.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Asane and Stabaek recent form
Asane
1W 2D 3L
Stabaek
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asane at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-6
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stabaek away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-5
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.85
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 14 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.9 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asane at home only, Stabaek away only.
Asane vs Stabaek head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Asane 0 · draws 1 · Stabaek 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Stabaek | 4-0 | Asane | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-10-22 | Stabaek | 2-0 | Asane | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-05-12 | Asane | 1-1 | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Stromsgodset vs Haugesund 2026-10-18
- Egersund v Sogndal — match page 2026-10-18
- Ranheim vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen 2026-10-18
- Kongsvinger v Sandnes ULF — match page 2026-10-18
- hodd vs Raufoss 2026-10-18
- Lyn v Moss — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Asane, previous: Strommen vs Asane: odds and pick
- Asane, next: Asane v hodd analysis
- Stabaek, previous: Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF prediction