Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF preview
In the fixture between Kongsvinger and Sandnes ULF, Kongsvinger has an 85% chance to win, with a most likely scoreline of 4-1 at 7%. The model also suggests a high probability of Over 2.5 goals at 92% and both teams to score at 73%. Kongsvinger has shown strong recent form with 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Sandnes ULF has 2 draws, 2 losses, and 1 win.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Sandnes ULF can improve their form, it might impact the predictions. The expected goals show Kongsvinger at 4.27 and Sandnes ULF at 1.35, which suggests a significant gap in attacking performance.
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF: model vs market
| Source | Kongsvinger | Draw | Sandnes ULF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.27 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kongsvinger and Sandnes ULF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.62
- Attack rating (Kongsvinger / Sandnes ULF)
- 2.10 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Kongsvinger / Sandnes ULF)
- 0.90 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kongsvinger goals. Columns: Sandnes ULF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 85% | 1.18 |
| Draw | 9% | 11.53 | |
| Sandnes ULF | 6% | 16.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 92% | 1.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 8% | 12.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kongsvinger or draw) | 94% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 91% | 1.09 | |
| X2 (draw or Sandnes ULF) | 15% | 6.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win by 2+ | 72% | 1.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Kongsvinger and Sandnes ULF recent form
Kongsvinger
5W 1D 0L
Sandnes ULF
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kongsvinger at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-2-1
- Win rate
- 77%
- Goals for / match
- 3.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.77
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 17 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.9 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Sandnes ULF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kongsvinger at home only, Sandnes ULF away only.
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Kongsvinger 1 · draws 0 · Sandnes ULF 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Sandnes ULF | 1-6 | Kongsvinger | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Stromsgodset vs Haugesund 2026-10-18
- Egersund v Sogndal — match page 2026-10-18
- Ranheim vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen 2026-10-18
- Asane vs Stabaek — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- hodd vs Raufoss 2026-10-18
- Lyn v Moss — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Kongsvinger, previous: Stromsgodset – Kongsvinger, 2026-10-14
- Kongsvinger, next: Pors Grenland v Kongsvinger analysis
- Sandnes ULF, previous: Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF prediction
- Sandnes ULF, next: Sandnes ULF – Bodo/Glimt, 2026-10-28