Updated

Norway 1. Division · Matchday 27

Ranheim vs Bryne

· EXTRA Arena, Trondheim

Alin prediction Bryne to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RanheimDrawBryne

Ranheim vs Bryne preview

In the upcoming match between Ranheim and Bryne, the 1X2 probabilities show Bryne at 45%, Ranheim at 32%, and a draw at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams have strong attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.70 for Ranheim and 2.01 for Bryne.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both predicted at 72%. However, Ranheim's recent form includes 2 wins out of their last 6 matches, while Bryne has won 4 of their last 6. This could influence the outcome, especially if Ranheim improves their performance.

Ranheim vs Bryne: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRanheimDrawBryne
Model32%23%45%
Market———
Published32%23%45%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.70.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Ranheim and Bryne expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.70Ranheim
2.00Bryne
Total expected goals
3.70
Attack rating (Ranheim / Bryne)
1.44 / 0.98
Defence rating (Ranheim / Bryne)
1.27 / 0.63

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ranheim vs Bryne score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 4.1% 4.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1 3.3% 9.2% 8.4% 5.6% 4.5% 2 3.6% 7.1% 7.1% 4.8% 3.8% 3 2.0% 4.0% 4.1% 2.7% 2.1% 4+ 1.3% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 1.3%

Rows: Ranheim goals. Columns: Bryne goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ranheim vs Bryne goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 72%
Over 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
72%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ranheim vs Bryne

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ranheim32%3.08
Draw23%4.34
Bryne45%2.25
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572%1.40
Under 2.528%3.51
Both teams to scoreYes72%1.40
No28%3.52
Double chance1X (Ranheim or draw)55%1.80
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Bryne)68%1.48
Handicap -1Bryne win by 2+26%3.90
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Ranheim and Bryne recent form

Ranheim 3W 2D 1L
Bryne 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ranheim at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Win rate
46%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
2.15
Clean sheets
2 of 13
  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bryne away

Record (W-D-L)
6-0-7
Win rate
46%
Goals for / match
1.23
Goals against / match
1.31
Clean sheets
4 of 13
  • They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ranheim at home only, Bryne away only.

Ranheim vs Bryne head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Ranheim 1 · draws 0 · Bryne 0.

RanheimDrawsBryne
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-12Bryne2-3RanheimNorway 1. Division

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Bryne to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Bryne