Stromsgodset vs Haugesund preview
Stromsgodset faces Haugesund with a 46% probability of winning compared to Haugesund's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the model's expectation of 1.99 expected goals for Stromsgodset and 1.59 for Haugesund. With 69% for Over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, this match could see multiple goals.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Stromsgodset's recent form shows 5 wins and 1 draw, while Haugesund has 5 wins and 1 draw as well. If Haugesund's strong form continues or if Stromsgodset struggles to convert their chances, the expected outcome may differ.
Stromsgodset vs Haugesund: model vs market
| Source | Stromsgodset | Draw | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.58.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stromsgodset and Haugesund expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.57
- Attack rating (Stromsgodset / Haugesund)
- 1.47 / 1.51
- Defence rating (Stromsgodset / Haugesund)
- 0.65 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stromsgodset vs Haugesund score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stromsgodset goals. Columns: Haugesund goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stromsgodset vs Haugesund goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stromsgodset vs Haugesund
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Haugesund | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stromsgodset or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Haugesund) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win by 2+ | 27% | 3.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Stromsgodset and Haugesund recent form
Stromsgodset
5W 1D 0L
Haugesund
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stromsgodset at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.58
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 16 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Haugesund away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-1-4
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 2.92
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 18 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Stromsgodset at home only, Haugesund away only.
Stromsgodset vs Haugesund head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Stromsgodset 2 · draws 0 · Haugesund 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Haugesund | 4-2 | Stromsgodset | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-08-03 | Stromsgodset | 2-0 | Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| 2025-04-06 | Haugesund | 0-5 | Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Egersund v Sogndal — match page 2026-10-18
- Ranheim vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen 2026-10-18
- Kongsvinger v Sandnes ULF — match page 2026-10-18
- Asane vs Stabaek — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- hodd vs Raufoss 2026-10-18
- Lyn v Moss — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Stromsgodset, previous: Stromsgodset – Kongsvinger, 2026-10-14
- Stromsgodset, next: Molde – Stromsgodset, 2026-10-28
- Haugesund, previous: Haugesund v Lyn analysis
- Haugesund, next: Tromso vs Haugesund: odds and pick