Updated

Norway 1. Division · Matchday 27

ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen

· Skagerak Arena, Skien

Alin prediction ODD Ballklubb to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 3 – 2

6% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
ODD BallklubbDrawStrommen

ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen preview

In the upcoming match between ODD Ballklubb and Strommen, the 1X2 probabilities from our model show ODD Ballklubb at 65%, Strommen at 20%, and a draw at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 3-2, with a 6% chance. The model also indicates a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 92% and both teams to score at 85%.

Recent form shows ODD Ballklubb with four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Strommen has one win, three draws, and two losses. The head-to-head record reveals that in the last two encounters, ODD Ballklubb has not secured a win, with both matches ending in draws. This could affect the outcome if Strommen improves their performance.

ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceODD BallklubbDrawStrommen
Model65%15%20%
Market———
Published65%15%20%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.52 vs 2.11.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

ODD Ballklubb and Strommen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.52ODD Ballklubb
2.11Strommen
Total expected goals
5.63
Attack rating (ODD Ballklubb / Strommen)
1.47 / 1.33
Defence rating (ODD Ballklubb / Strommen)
0.98 / 1.27

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 1 1.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2 2.2% 4.7% 5.0% 3.5% 3.0% 3 2.6% 5.5% 5.8% 4.1% 3.5% 4+ 5.7% 12.0% 12.6% 8.9% 7.6%

Rows: ODD Ballklubb goals. Columns: Strommen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 98%
Over 2.5 92%
Over 3.5 81%
Both teams to score
85%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2ODD Ballklubb65%1.55
Draw15%6.58
Strommen20%4.93
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.592%1.09
Under 2.58%12.35
Both teams to scoreYes85%1.17
No15%6.89
Double chance1X (ODD Ballklubb or draw)80%1.25
12 (either side)85%1.18
X2 (draw or Strommen)35%2.82
Handicap -1ODD Ballklubb win by 2+48%2.10
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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ODD Ballklubb and Strommen recent form

ODD Ballklubb 4W 1D 1L
Strommen 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

ODD Ballklubb at home

Record (W-D-L)
7-3-3
Win rate
54%
Goals for / match
2.15
Goals against / match
1.08
Clean sheets
4 of 13
  • They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Strommen away

Record (W-D-L)
3-3-7
Win rate
23%
Goals for / match
1.69
Goals against / match
2.31
Clean sheets
0 of 13
  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: ODD Ballklubb at home only, Strommen away only.

ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: ODD Ballklubb 0 · draws 2 · Strommen 0.

ODD BallklubbDrawsStrommen
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-26Strommen0-0ODD BallklubbNorway 1. Division
2025-08-27Strommen2-2ODD BallklubbNM Cupen

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot ODD Ballklubb to win Predicted score 3 – 2 C Bet on ODD Ballklubb