Lyn vs Moss preview
Lyn faces Moss with 50% probability for a Lyn win and a most likely scoreline of 2-1, which has an 8% chance according to our model. Lyn's expected goals stand at 2.25, while Moss has 1.71. This suggests a high-scoring match, supported by a 76% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance for both teams to score.
However, Lyn's recent form shows three losses followed by two wins and a draw, which could impact their performance. Moss, on the other hand, has a mixed recent form with three wins and two losses. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.
Lyn vs Moss: model vs market
| Source | Lyn | Draw | Moss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 22% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 50% | 22% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.70.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Lyn and Moss expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.95
- Attack rating (Lyn / Moss)
- 1.15 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Lyn / Moss)
- 1.18 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lyn vs Moss score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lyn goals. Columns: Moss goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lyn vs Moss goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lyn vs Moss
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyn | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Moss | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.35 |
| No | 26% | 3.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lyn or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Moss) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyn win by 2+ | 31% | 3.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Lyn and Moss recent form
Lyn
2W 1D 3L
Moss
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lyn at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-8
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 2.69
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Moss away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-7
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.77
- Goals against / match
- 2.23
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Lyn at home only, Moss away only.
Lyn vs Moss head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Lyn 1 · draws 0 · Moss 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Moss | 2-1 | Lyn | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-10-05 | Lyn | 4-0 | Moss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-05-11 | Moss | 2-0 | Lyn | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Stromsgodset vs Haugesund 2026-10-18
- Egersund v Sogndal — match page 2026-10-18
- Ranheim vs Bryne — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen 2026-10-18
- Kongsvinger v Sandnes ULF — match page 2026-10-18
- Asane vs Stabaek — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- hodd vs Raufoss 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Lyn, previous: Haugesund v Lyn analysis
- Lyn, next: Tromsdalen Uil v Lyn analysis
- Moss, previous: Moss v Egersund analysis