Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn: model vs market
| Source | Tromsdalen Uil | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 23% | 34% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Published | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Tromsdalen Uil and Lyn expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.86
- Attack rating (Tromsdalen Uil / Lyn)
- 1.66 / 0.76
- Defence rating (Tromsdalen Uil / Lyn)
- 0.73 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tromsdalen Uil goals. Columns: Lyn goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromsdalen Uil | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Lyn | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.36 |
| No | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tromsdalen Uil or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Lyn) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tromsdalen Uil win by 2+ | 25% | 3.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Tromsdalen Uil and Lyn recent form
Tromsdalen Uil
5W 0D 1L
Lyn
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tromsdalen Uil at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 9.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 1
Lyn away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: Tromsdalen Uil at home only, Lyn away only.
Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Tromsdalen Uil 2 · draws 0 · Lyn 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-24 | Tromsdalen Uil | 3-1 | Lyn | NM Cupen |
| 2023-11-19 | Tromsdalen Uil | 0-2 | Lyn | 2. Division - Play-offs |
| 2023-11-15 | Lyn | 1-2 | Tromsdalen Uil | 2. Division - Play-offs |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Asane vs hodd — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Egersund vs Bryne 2026-10-28
- Kristiansund BK v Aalesund — match page 2026-10-28
- Molde vs Stromsgodset — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger 2026-10-28
- Ranheim v Fredrikstad — match page 2026-10-28
- Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Lyn, previous: Sandnes ULF v Lyn analysis
- Lyn, next: Lyn – Raufoss, 2026-11-01