Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn Prediction & Betting Tips 28/10/2026

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn preview

In the NM Cupen match between Tromsdalen Uil and Lyn, the 1X2 probabilities show Tromsdalen Uil at 40% and Lyn at 39%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 81% chance of Over 2.5 goals and an 80% chance for both teams to score.

Tromsdalen Uil has a recent form of W-W-L-W-W-W, while Lyn has L-L-L-W-W-D. The expected goals for Tromsdalen Uil are 2.20 and for Lyn, they are 2.19. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Tromsdalen Uil	Draw	Lyn
Model	40%	21%	39%
Market	—	—	—
Published	40%	21%	39%
Edge	—	—	—

Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Tromsdalen Uil and Lyn expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.20Tromsdalen Uil

2.19Lyn

Total expected goals: 4.39
Attack rating (Tromsdalen Uil / Lyn): 1.66 / 0.93
Defence rating (Tromsdalen Uil / Lyn): 0.73 / 0.95

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 2.0% 1 2.1% 6.6% 6.5% 4.8% 4.4% 2 3.0% 6.6% 7.2% 5.3% 4.8% 3 2.2% 4.8% 5.3% 3.9% 3.5% 4+ 2.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5% 3.2%

Rows: Tromsdalen Uil goals. Columns: Lyn goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%

Over 1.5 94%

Over 2.5 81%

Over 3.5 64%

Both teams to score: 80%
No goals (0–0): 2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Tromsdalen Uil vs Lyn

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Tromsdalen Uil	40%	2.52
	Draw	21%	4.79
	Lyn	39%	2.53
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	81%	1.23
	Under 2.5	19%	5.38
Both teams to score	Yes	80%	1.26
	No	20%	4.90
Double chance	1X (Tromsdalen Uil or draw)	61%	1.65
	12 (either side)	79%	1.26
	X2 (draw or Lyn)	60%	1.66
Handicap -1	Tromsdalen Uil win by 2+	23%	4.35
	Push (exactly one goal)	17%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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