Updated

NM Cupen · Round of 32

Egersund vs Bryne

· XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena· Referee S. Hauge

Full time1 – 0

Alin prediction was Bryne to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 0 – 2

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
EgersundDrawBryne

Egersund vs Bryne: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceEgersundDrawBryne
Model8%16%76%
Market49%24%27%
Published39%22%39%
Edge-10%-2%+12%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bryne below our published probability: +12.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Egersund vs Bryne odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bryne, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-27.

Opened 3.05Now 3.40 +0.35
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Egersund2.001.86-0.14
Draw3.723.83+0.11
Bryne3.053.40+0.35

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Egersund and Bryne expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.83Egersund
2.69Bryne
Total expected goals
3.52
Attack rating (Egersund / Bryne)
0.81 / 0.86
Defence rating (Egersund / Bryne)
0.97 / 0.73

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Egersund vs Bryne score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.6% 7.3% 10.7% 9.6% 12.4% 1 1.8% 7.2% 8.9% 8.0% 10.3% 2 1.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.3% 4.3% 3 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 4+ 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%

Rows: Egersund goals. Columns: Bryne goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Egersund vs Bryne goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 68%
Over 3.5 47%
Both teams to score
53%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Egersund vs Bryne

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Egersund39%2.56
Draw22%4.59
Bryne39%2.55
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568%1.46
Under 2.532%3.15
Both teams to scoreYes53%1.88
No47%2.13
Double chance1X (Egersund or draw)61%1.64
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Bryne)61%1.64
Handicap -1Bryne win by 2+56%1.79
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Egersund and Bryne recent form

Egersund 1W 3D 2L
Bryne 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Bryne away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.50
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Egersund at home only, Bryne away only.

Egersund vs Bryne head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Egersund 2 · draws 2 · Bryne 6.

EgersundDrawsBryne
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-10-25Bryne3-3EgersundNorway 1. Division
2026-04-19Egersund1-0BryneNorway 1. Division
2026-03-28Egersund4-3BryneFriendlies Clubs
2025-03-23Bryne1-1EgersundFriendlies Clubs
2024-11-02Bryne2-1Egersund1. Division
2024-07-20Egersund0-2Bryne1. Division
2024-02-17Bryne5-2EgersundFriendlies Clubs
2022-03-18Bryne2-0EgersundFriendlies Clubs
2020-11-21Bryne2-1Egersund2. Division - Group 2
2020-08-08Bryne2-1Egersund2. Division - Group 2

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Before and after this match