Updated

Norway 1. Division · Matchday 28

Bryne vs Egersund

· Bryne Stadion, Bryne· Referee J. W. Grundt

Alin prediction Bryne to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
BryneDrawEgersund
Best market odds
Bryne1.80 Draw4.00 Egersund4.29

Price as of

Bryne vs Egersund preview

In the upcoming match between Bryne and Egersund, Bryne has a 54% chance to win, while Egersund also holds a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with Bryne expected to score 2.20 goals compared to Egersund's 1.17.

While Bryne has shown strong recent form with three wins in their last five matches, Egersund's form is mixed, with only two wins in their last five. This could impact the outcome, as Egersund has won their last head-to-head encounter. The model indicates a 65% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance for both teams to score, which could also influence the match dynamics.

Bryne vs Egersund: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBryneDrawEgersund
Model60%22%19%
Market53%24%23%
Published55%23%22%
Edge+7%-2%-5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bryne below the model: +6.6 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Bryne vs Egersund odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bryne, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.77Now 1.72 -0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Bryne1.771.72-0.05
Draw3.863.88+0.02
Egersund3.863.92+0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Bryne and Egersund expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.20Bryne
1.17Egersund
Total expected goals
3.37
Attack rating (Bryne / Egersund)
0.99 / 0.93
Defence rating (Bryne / Egersund)
0.79 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bryne vs Egersund score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.3% 3.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1 6.7% 9.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.8% 2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8% 3 6.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.6% 4+ 5.6% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.6%

Rows: Bryne goals. Columns: Egersund goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bryne vs Egersund goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bryne vs Egersund

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Bryne55%1.83
Draw23%4.33
Egersund22%4.53
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.89
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.61
No38%2.65
Double chance1X (Bryne or draw)78%1.28
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Egersund)45%2.21
Handicap -1Bryne win by 2+38%2.62
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Bryne and Egersund recent form

Bryne 3W 1D 2L
Egersund 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Bryne at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Win rate
46%
Goals for / match
1.46
Goals against / match
1.31
Clean sheets
4 of 13
  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Egersund away

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Win rate
15%
Goals for / match
1.31
Goals against / match
2.54
Clean sheets
3 of 13
  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Bryne at home only, Egersund away only.

Bryne vs Egersund head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Bryne 0 · draws 0 · Egersund 1.

BryneDrawsEgersund
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-19Egersund1-0BryneNorway 1. Division

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Bryne to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Bryne