Haugesund vs hodd preview
Haugesund faces hodd with a 73% probability of winning, while hodd has just a 12% chance. The most likely scoreline is 3-1, with Haugesund expected to score 3.21 goals compared to hodd's 1.37. This suggests a strong offensive performance from Haugesund.
However, hodd's recent form shows they have managed to secure a draw and a win, despite losing in 4 of their last 6 matches. With 84% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, the potential for a high-scoring match exists, but any unexpected defensive resilience from hodd could alter the outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty.
Haugesund vs hodd: model vs market
| Source | Haugesund | Draw | hodd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 10% |
| Published | 74% | 14% | 11% |
| Edge | -10% | +3% | +7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.02 vs 1.57.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Haugesund vs hodd odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Haugesund, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haugesund | 1.17 | 1.19 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 7.70 | 6.65 | -1.05 |
| hodd | 10.57 | 9.50 | -1.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Haugesund and hodd expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.59
- Attack rating (Haugesund / hodd)
- 1.35 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Haugesund / hodd)
- 0.87 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Haugesund vs hodd score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Haugesund goals. Columns: hodd goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Haugesund vs hodd goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 76%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Haugesund vs hodd
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 14% | 6.91 | |
| hodd | 11% | 8.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 16% | 6.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76% | 1.32 |
| No | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Haugesund or draw) | 89% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 86% | 1.17 | |
| X2 (draw or hodd) | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win by 2+ | 48% | 2.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Haugesund and hodd recent form
Haugesund
4W 1D 1L
hodd
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Haugesund at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-1-1
- Win rate
- 85%
- Goals for / match
- 3.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
- They have won 19 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
hodd away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-7
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 1.38
- Goals against / match
- 2.31
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Haugesund at home only, hodd away only.
Haugesund vs hodd head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Haugesund 1 · draws 0 · hodd 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | hodd | 0-2 | Haugesund | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Raufoss vs Ranheim — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Strommen vs Stromsgodset 2026-10-25
- Sandnes ULF vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb 2026-10-25
- Sogndal v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-25
- Bryne vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Moss vs Asane 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Haugesund, previous: Stromsgodset vs Haugesund: odds and pick
- Haugesund, next: Tromso vs Haugesund: odds and pick
- hodd, previous: hodd – Raufoss, 2026-10-18
- hodd, next: Asane v hodd analysis