Updated

Norway 1. Division · Matchday 28

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb

· Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua· Referee M. Tennoy

Alin prediction Stabaek to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
StabaekDrawODD Ballklubb
Best market odds
Stabaek1.85 Draw4.33 ODD Ballklubb3.59

Price as of

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb preview

In the matchup between Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb, the 1X2 probabilities show both teams at 39%, with a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% chance. The model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 76%.

Stabaek's recent form is W-D-L-W-L-L, while ODD Ballklubb has a solid W-W-W-W-W-L record. The expected goals are close, with Stabaek at 2.04 and ODD Ballklubb at 2.03. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting uncertainty that could arise from Stabaek's inconsistent performance or ODD Ballklubb's potential to underperform after a series of wins.

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceStabaekDrawODD Ballklubb
Model42%23%35%
Market51%22%27%
Published49%22%29%
Edge-9%+1%+8%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Stabaek, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.79Now 1.80 +0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Stabaek1.791.80+0.01
Draw4.254.18-0.07
ODD Ballklubb3.483.42-0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.91Stabaek
1.73ODD Ballklubb
Total expected goals
3.64
Attack rating (Stabaek / ODD Ballklubb)
1.11 / 1.31
Defence rating (Stabaek / ODD Ballklubb)
0.83 / 0.90

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 2.3% 1.5% 1 4.1% 9.5% 7.5% 4.3% 2.8% 2 4.8% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 2.7% 3 3.0% 5.3% 4.6% 2.6% 1.7% 4+ 2.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.9% 1.2%

Rows: Stabaek goals. Columns: ODD Ballklubb goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 70%
Over 3.5 49%
Both teams to score
71%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Stabaek49%2.05
Draw22%4.47
ODD Ballklubb29%3.47
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570%1.42
Under 2.530%3.38
Both teams to scoreYes71%1.41
No29%3.45
Double chance1X (Stabaek or draw)71%1.41
12 (either side)78%1.29
X2 (draw or ODD Ballklubb)51%1.95
Handicap -1Stabaek win by 2+23%4.29
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb recent form

Stabaek 3W 1D 2L
ODD Ballklubb 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Stabaek at home

Record (W-D-L)
10-1-2
Win rate
77%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
1.31
Clean sheets
4 of 13
  • They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ODD Ballklubb away

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Win rate
46%
Goals for / match
1.92
Goals against / match
1.92
Clean sheets
3 of 13
  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Stabaek at home only, ODD Ballklubb away only.

Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Stabaek 0 · draws 2 · ODD Ballklubb 1.

StabaekDrawsODD Ballklubb
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-19ODD Ballklubb2-2StabaekNorway 1. Division
2025-10-05Stabaek2-2ODD BallklubbNorway 1. Division
2025-07-30ODD Ballklubb2-0StabaekNorway 1. Division

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Stabaek to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Stabaek