Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb preview
In the matchup between Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb, the 1X2 probabilities show both teams at 39%, with a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% chance. The model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 76%.
Stabaek's recent form is W-D-L-W-L-L, while ODD Ballklubb has a solid W-W-W-W-W-L record. The expected goals are close, with Stabaek at 2.04 and ODD Ballklubb at 2.03. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting uncertainty that could arise from Stabaek's inconsistent performance or ODD Ballklubb's potential to underperform after a series of wins.
Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb: model vs market
| Source | Stabaek | Draw | ODD Ballklubb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Published | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| Edge | -9% | +1% | +8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Stabaek, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stabaek | 1.79 | 1.80 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.18 | -0.07 |
| ODD Ballklubb | 3.48 | 3.42 | -0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.64
- Attack rating (Stabaek / ODD Ballklubb)
- 1.11 / 1.31
- Defence rating (Stabaek / ODD Ballklubb)
- 0.83 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stabaek goals. Columns: ODD Ballklubb goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stabaek | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | |
| ODD Ballklubb | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stabaek or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or ODD Ballklubb) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stabaek win by 2+ | 23% | 4.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stabaek and ODD Ballklubb recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stabaek at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-1-2
- Win rate
- 77%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.31
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ODD Ballklubb away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-4
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.92
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Stabaek at home only, ODD Ballklubb away only.
Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Stabaek 0 · draws 2 · ODD Ballklubb 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | ODD Ballklubb | 2-2 | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-10-05 | Stabaek | 2-2 | ODD Ballklubb | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-07-30 | ODD Ballklubb | 2-0 | Stabaek | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Raufoss vs Ranheim — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Strommen vs Stromsgodset 2026-10-25
- Haugesund v hodd — match page 2026-10-25
- Sandnes ULF vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Sogndal v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-25
- Bryne vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Moss vs Asane 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Stabaek, previous: Asane vs Stabaek prediction
- ODD Ballklubb, previous: ODD Ballklubb v Strommen analysis
- ODD Ballklubb, next: ODD Ballklubb v Sandefjord analysis