Sandnes ULF vs Lyn preview
In the matchup between Sandnes ULF and Lyn, the 1X2 probabilities show Sandnes ULF at 38%, Lyn at 37%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 7% chance of occurring. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a strong probability of 71%, indicating a potential for an exciting match.
Sandnes ULF's recent form includes 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 games, while Lyn has 2 wins and 3 losses in the same period. The expected goals suggest Sandnes ULF will score 1.66 and Lyn 2.01. A lack of scoring from Sandnes ULF could lead to a different outcome than predicted.
Sandnes ULF vs Lyn: model vs market
| Source | Sandnes ULF | Draw | Lyn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 23% | 45% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Published | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Edge | -9% | -3% | +12% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.33, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sandnes ULF vs Lyn odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sandnes ULF, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandnes ULF | 2.27 | 2.25 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.68 | 3.58 | -0.10 |
| Lyn | 2.70 | 2.75 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sandnes ULF and Lyn expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.68
- Attack rating (Sandnes ULF / Lyn)
- 0.80 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Sandnes ULF / Lyn)
- 1.32 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sandnes ULF vs Lyn score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sandnes ULF goals. Columns: Lyn goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sandnes ULF vs Lyn goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sandnes ULF vs Lyn
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sandnes ULF | 39% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Lyn | 36% | 2.74 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sandnes ULF or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Lyn) | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sandnes ULF win by 2+ | 16% | 6.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sandnes ULF and Lyn recent form
Sandnes ULF
1W 2D 3L
Lyn
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sandnes ULF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lyn away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.46
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sandnes ULF at home only, Lyn away only.
Sandnes ULF vs Lyn head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Sandnes ULF 1 · draws 0 · Lyn 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Lyn | 0-2 | Sandnes ULF | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Raufoss vs Ranheim — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Strommen vs Stromsgodset 2026-10-25
- Haugesund v hodd — match page 2026-10-25
- Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb 2026-10-25
- Sogndal v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-25
- Bryne vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Moss vs Asane 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Sandnes ULF, previous: Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF: odds and pick
- Sandnes ULF, next: Sandnes ULF – Bodo/Glimt, 2026-10-28
- Lyn, previous: Lyn v Moss analysis
- Lyn, next: Tromsdalen Uil v Lyn analysis