Raufoss vs Ranheim preview
In the match between Raufoss and Ranheim, the 1X2 probabilities show Ranheim at 71%, while Raufoss stands at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-3, with an 89% chance of Over 2.5 goals and an 80% chance for both teams to score.
Raufoss has struggled recently, with a form of L-D-L-L-L-W, while Ranheim has been more successful, recording W-D-L-W-W-W. Despite the strong numbers for Ranheim, unexpected factors like a sudden change in form or key player performance could impact the match outcome.
Raufoss vs Ranheim: model vs market
| Source | Raufoss | Draw | Ranheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 14% | 71% |
| Market | 23% | 21% | 55% |
| Published | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| Edge | -8% | -7% | +15% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.47 vs 1.71.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ranheim below the model: +15.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Raufoss vs Ranheim odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ranheim, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raufoss | 4.00 | 4.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.00 |
| Ranheim | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Raufoss and Ranheim expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.18
- Attack rating (Raufoss / Ranheim)
- 0.78 / 1.46
- Defence rating (Raufoss / Ranheim)
- 1.50 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Raufoss vs Ranheim score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Raufoss goals. Columns: Ranheim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Raufoss vs Ranheim goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 80%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Raufoss vs Ranheim
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raufoss | 21% | 4.75 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.08 | |
| Ranheim | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 89% | 1.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 11% | 9.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80% | 1.25 |
| No | 20% | 4.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Raufoss or draw) | 41% | 2.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Ranheim) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ranheim win by 2+ | 54% | 1.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Raufoss and Ranheim recent form
Raufoss
1W 1D 4L
Ranheim
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Raufoss at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-8
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.23
- Goals against / match
- 1.69
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ranheim away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-8
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 2.85
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Raufoss at home only, Ranheim away only.
Raufoss vs Ranheim head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Raufoss 2 · draws 4 · Ranheim 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Ranheim | 5-1 | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-09-29 | Raufoss | 1-2 | Ranheim | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-05-15 | Ranheim | 1-1 | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2024-09-25 | Raufoss | 1-1 | Ranheim | 1. Division |
| 2024-06-16 | Ranheim | 1-0 | Raufoss | 1. Division |
| 2024-05-01 | Ranheim | 1-2 | Raufoss | NM Cupen |
| 2023-09-15 | Ranheim | 1-3 | Raufoss | 1. Division |
| 2023-05-13 | Raufoss | 0-0 | Ranheim | 1. Division |
| 2022-10-22 | Ranheim | 3-2 | Raufoss | 1. Division |
| 2022-04-11 | Raufoss | 1-1 | Ranheim | 1. Division |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Strommen vs Stromsgodset 2026-10-25
- Haugesund v hodd — match page 2026-10-25
- Sandnes ULF vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb 2026-10-25
- Sogndal v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-25
- Bryne vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Moss vs Asane 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Raufoss, previous: Sogndal vs Raufoss: odds and pick
- Ranheim, previous: Ranheim – Bryne, 2026-10-18
- Ranheim, next: Ranheim vs Fredrikstad: odds and pick