Strommen vs Stromsgodset preview
In the match between Strommen and Stromsgodset, the 1X2 probabilities show a clear advantage for Stromsgodset at 76%, compared to Strommen's 11%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-3, which aligns with the expectation of Over 2.5 goals at 86% and both teams to score at 73%.
Strommen's recent form includes 1 win and 4 draws in their last 6 matches, while Stromsgodset has won all of their last 6 games. This difference in form could impact the match, as Strommen's expected goals stand at 1.40, significantly lower than Stromsgodset's 3.46. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
Strommen vs Stromsgodset: model vs market
| Source | Strommen | Draw | Stromsgodset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12% | 14% | 73% |
| Market | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| Published | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| Edge | -3% | -4% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.28 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stromsgodset below the model: +6.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Strommen vs Stromsgodset odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Stromsgodset, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strommen | 5.75 | 6.08 | +0.32 |
| Draw | 5.00 | 5.10 | +0.10 |
| Stromsgodset | 1.40 | 1.36 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Strommen and Stromsgodset expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.69
- Attack rating (Strommen / Stromsgodset)
- 1.33 / 1.70
- Defence rating (Strommen / Stromsgodset)
- 1.21 / 0.56
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Strommen vs Stromsgodset score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Strommen goals. Columns: Stromsgodset goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Strommen vs Stromsgodset goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Strommen vs Stromsgodset
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Strommen | 14% | 6.96 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.88 | |
| Stromsgodset | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 6.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Strommen or draw) | 31% | 3.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Stromsgodset) | 86% | 1.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win by 2+ | 56% | 1.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Strommen and Stromsgodset recent form
Strommen
2W 3D 1L
Stromsgodset
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Strommen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-5
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.85
- Goals against / match
- 2.15
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stromsgodset away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-2
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 2.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.46
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 17 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Strommen at home only, Stromsgodset away only.
Strommen vs Stromsgodset head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Strommen 0 · draws 0 · Stromsgodset 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Stromsgodset | 3-0 | Strommen | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Raufoss vs Ranheim — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Haugesund v hodd — match page 2026-10-25
- Sandnes ULF vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb 2026-10-25
- Sogndal v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-25
- Bryne vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Moss vs Asane 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Strommen, previous: ODD Ballklubb v Strommen analysis
- Stromsgodset, previous: Stromsgodset vs Haugesund: odds and pick
- Stromsgodset, next: Molde – Stromsgodset, 2026-10-28