Moss vs Asane preview
Moss faces Asane with a 56% probability of winning compared to Asane's 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with Moss's expected goals of 2.06 against Asane's 1.22. Both teams to score stands at 63%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 64%, indicating a strong chance for a high-scoring match.
However, recent form shows Moss with mixed results, having drawn and lost in their last few matches, while Asane has struggled, with only 1 win in their last 5. This inconsistency could impact the match outcome, making it possible for Asane to perform better than expected.
Moss vs Asane: model vs market
| Source | Moss | Draw | Asane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 19% |
| Published | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Edge | -7% | +5% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Moss vs Asane odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Moss, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moss | 1.58 | 1.53 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 4.45 | 4.55 | +0.10 |
| Asane | 4.44 | 4.75 | +0.32 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Moss and Asane expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.80
- Attack rating (Moss / Asane)
- 0.75 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Moss / Asane)
- 0.88 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Moss vs Asane score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Moss goals. Columns: Asane goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Moss vs Asane goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Moss vs Asane
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 58% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Asane | 20% | 5.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Moss or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Asane) | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Moss win by 2+ | 30% | 3.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Moss and Asane recent form
Moss
2W 2D 2L
Asane
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Moss at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-6
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Asane away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-9
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 0.92
- Goals against / match
- 2.62
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Moss at home only, Asane away only.
Moss vs Asane head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Moss 1 · draws 0 · Asane 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Asane | 2-3 | Moss | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-08-10 | Moss | 1-2 | Asane | Norway 1. Division |
| 2025-06-21 | Asane | 2-1 | Moss | Norway 1. Division |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Raufoss vs Ranheim — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Strommen vs Stromsgodset 2026-10-25
- Haugesund v hodd — match page 2026-10-25
- Sandnes ULF vs Lyn — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb 2026-10-25
- Sogndal v Kongsvinger — match page 2026-10-25
- Bryne vs Egersund — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Moss, previous: Lyn v Moss analysis
- Asane, previous: Asane vs Stabaek prediction
- Asane, next: Asane v hodd analysis