Updated

Eliteserien · Matchday 25

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking

· Aspmyra Stadion

Alin prediction Bodo/Glimt to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Bodo/GlimtDrawViking
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bodo/Glimt is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Bodo/Glimt1.68 Draw4.58 Viking4.50

Price as of

Expected return at 1.68: -9.8% per unit staked

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking preview

Bodo/Glimt faces Viking with a 56% chance to win, while Viking has a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with our model showing an 84% probability for Over 2.5 goals and an 81% chance for both teams to score. Bodo/Glimt's expected goals stand at 2.60 compared to Viking's 2.06.

Bodo/Glimt's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Viking has 4 wins. In their last 3 encounters, Bodo/Glimt has 1 win and Viking has 2. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. Factors like unexpected player performance or tactical changes could influence the outcome.

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBodo/GlimtDrawViking
Model44%21%35%
Market57%21%22%
Published54%21%25%
Edge-3%0%+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Bodo/Glimt, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 1.62Now 1.65 +0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Bodo/Glimt1.621.65+0.03
Draw4.534.44-0.09
Viking4.534.28-0.25

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Bodo/Glimt and Viking expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.29Bodo/Glimt
2.04Viking
Total expected goals
4.32
Attack rating (Bodo/Glimt / Viking)
1.35 / 1.50
Defence rating (Bodo/Glimt / Viking)
0.98 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.5% 1 2.4% 6.8% 6.3% 4.3% 3.5% 2 3.5% 7.1% 7.2% 4.9% 4.0% 3 2.6% 5.4% 5.5% 3.7% 3.0% 4+ 2.6% 5.3% 5.3% 3.6% 3.0%

Rows: Bodo/Glimt goals. Columns: Viking goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 94%
Over 2.5 81%
Over 3.5 63%
Both teams to score
79%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bodo/Glimt vs Viking

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Bodo/Glimt54%1.86
Draw21%4.74
Viking25%3.97
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581%1.24
Under 2.519%5.14
Both teams to scoreYes79%1.27
No21%4.70
Double chance1X (Bodo/Glimt or draw)75%1.34
12 (either side)79%1.27
X2 (draw or Viking)46%2.16
Handicap -1Bodo/Glimt win by 2+26%3.77
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Bodo/Glimt and Viking recent form

Bodo/Glimt 4W 0D 2L
Viking 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Bodo/Glimt at home

Record (W-D-L)
10-0-2
Win rate
83%
Goals for / match
2.83
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
6 of 12
  • They have won 18 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viking away

Record (W-D-L)
7-2-3
Win rate
58%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.83
Clean sheets
4 of 12
  • They have won 18 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Bodo/Glimt at home only, Viking away only.

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Bodo/Glimt 1 · draws 0 · Viking 2.

Bodo/GlimtDrawsViking
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-11Viking5-0Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
2025-07-19Viking2-4Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
2025-05-28Bodo/Glimt2-4VikingEliteserien

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Bodo/Glimt to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Bodo/Glimt