Bodo/Glimt vs Viking preview
Bodo/Glimt faces Viking with a 56% chance to win, while Viking has a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with our model showing an 84% probability for Over 2.5 goals and an 81% chance for both teams to score. Bodo/Glimt's expected goals stand at 2.60 compared to Viking's 2.06.
Bodo/Glimt's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Viking has 4 wins. In their last 3 encounters, Bodo/Glimt has 1 win and Viking has 2. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty. Factors like unexpected player performance or tactical changes could influence the outcome.
Bodo/Glimt vs Viking: model vs market
| Source | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Viking |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 21% | 35% |
| Market | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Published | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Bodo/Glimt vs Viking odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bodo/Glimt, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.62 | 1.65 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 4.53 | 4.44 | -0.09 |
| Viking | 4.53 | 4.28 | -0.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bodo/Glimt and Viking expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.32
- Attack rating (Bodo/Glimt / Viking)
- 1.35 / 1.50
- Defence rating (Bodo/Glimt / Viking)
- 0.98 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bodo/Glimt vs Viking score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bodo/Glimt goals. Columns: Viking goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bodo/Glimt vs Viking goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 79%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bodo/Glimt vs Viking
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.74 | |
| Viking | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79% | 1.27 |
| No | 21% | 4.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bodo/Glimt or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Viking) | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win by 2+ | 26% | 3.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bodo/Glimt and Viking recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bodo/Glimt at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-0-2
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 12
- They have won 18 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viking away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-2-3
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 18 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bodo/Glimt at home only, Viking away only.
Bodo/Glimt vs Viking head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Bodo/Glimt 1 · draws 0 · Viking 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Viking | 5-0 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| 2025-07-19 | Viking | 2-4 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| 2025-05-28 | Bodo/Glimt | 2-4 | Viking | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg 2026-10-31
- Aalesund v Sandefjord — match page 2026-10-31
- Brann vs Molde — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Start vs Lillestrom 2026-11-01
- KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Valerenga vs Tromso 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Bodo/Glimt, previous: Sandnes ULF – Bodo/Glimt, 2026-10-28
- Bodo/Glimt, next: Bodo/Glimt vs Lille: odds and pick
- Viking, previous: Viking v KFUM Oslo analysis
- Viking, next: Viking vs Sabah FA prediction