Brann vs Molde preview
In the Eliteserien match between Brann and Molde, the 1X2 probabilities show Molde at 52%, while Brann sits at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, which occurs with an 8% probability. With expected goals of 1.81 for Brann and 2.49 for Molde, the data suggests a strong offensive performance from the visitors.
The high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 80% and both teams to score at 77% indicates a potentially exciting match. However, Brann's recent form shows inconsistency with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, which could affect their performance against a stronger Molde side that has won 5 of their last 6 games.
Brann vs Molde: model vs market
| Source | Brann | Draw | Molde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| Market | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Published | 30% | 22% | 47% |
| Edge | -2% | -2% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 1.83.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Molde below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.21, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Brann vs Molde odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Molde, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 2.88 | 2.88 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.90 | +0.00 |
| Molde | 2.15 | 2.15 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Brann and Molde expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.72
- Attack rating (Brann / Molde)
- 1.13 / 2.09
- Defence rating (Brann / Molde)
- 1.00 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Brann vs Molde score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Brann goals. Columns: Molde goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Brann vs Molde goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 80%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Brann vs Molde
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brann | 30% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Molde | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 6.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80% | 1.25 |
| No | 20% | 4.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Brann or draw) | 53% | 1.90 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Molde) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Molde win by 2+ | 41% | 2.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Brann and Molde recent form
Brann
3W 0D 3L
Molde
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Brann at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-6
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Molde away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.91
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 11
- They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Brann at home only, Molde away only.
Brann vs Molde head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Brann 1 · draws 0 · Molde 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Molde | 1-2 | Brann | Eliteserien |
| 2025-11-22 | Molde | 4-0 | Brann | Eliteserien |
| 2025-05-29 | Brann | 0-3 | Molde | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Bodo/Glimt v Viking — match page 2026-10-30
- Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg 2026-10-31
- Aalesund v Sandefjord — match page 2026-10-31
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Start vs Lillestrom 2026-11-01
- KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Valerenga vs Tromso 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Brann, previous: Grorud – Brann, 2026-10-28
- Brann, next: St. Truiden vs Brann prediction
- Molde, previous: Molde – Stromsgodset, 2026-10-28