KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam preview
KFUM Oslo faces Ham-Kam with a 67% probability of winning, while Ham-Kam sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 2.41 for KFUM Oslo and 1.05 for Ham-Kam. The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 60%.
However, KFUM Oslo's recent form includes a loss, and they have not won against Ham-Kam in their last three encounters, with 2 draws and 1 loss. This could impact their performance despite the statistical edge. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam: model vs market
| Source | KFUM Oslo | Draw | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 25% |
| Published | 52% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | +5% | -2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices KFUM Oslo below our published probability: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.01, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam odds movement
Median bookmaker price on KFUM Oslo, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| KFUM Oslo | 1.97 | 1.97 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.40 | +0.00 |
| Ham-Kam | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
KFUM Oslo and Ham-Kam expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (KFUM Oslo / Ham-Kam)
- 1.05 / 0.92
- Defence rating (KFUM Oslo / Ham-Kam)
- 0.89 / 1.32
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: KFUM Oslo goals. Columns: Ham-Kam goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KFUM Oslo | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Ham-Kam | 22% | 4.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| No | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (KFUM Oslo or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Ham-Kam) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | KFUM Oslo win by 2+ | 46% | 2.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
KFUM Oslo and Ham-Kam recent form
KFUM Oslo
4W 2D 0L
Ham-Kam
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
KFUM Oslo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Ham-Kam away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-7
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: KFUM Oslo at home only, Ham-Kam away only.
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: KFUM Oslo 0 · draws 2 · Ham-Kam 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Ham-Kam | 4-0 | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| 2025-08-22 | KFUM Oslo | 2-2 | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| 2025-05-02 | Ham-Kam | 0-0 | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- Bodo/Glimt v Viking — match page 2026-10-30
- Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg 2026-10-31
- Aalesund v Sandefjord — match page 2026-10-31
- Brann vs Molde — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Start vs Lillestrom 2026-11-01
- Valerenga vs Tromso 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- KFUM Oslo, previous: Viking v KFUM Oslo analysis
- Ham-Kam, previous: Rosenborg – Ham-Kam, 2026-10-28