Viking vs KFUM Oslo preview
In the Eliteserien fixture between Viking and KFUM Oslo, the 1X2 probabilities show Viking at 56%, while KFUM Oslo stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% chance. Viking's expected goals are 2.36 compared to KFUM Oslo's 1.48, indicating a potential for a high-scoring match.
The data suggests a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 71%. However, Viking's recent form includes two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Conversely, KFUM Oslo has a solid run with four wins in their last six games, making this matchup unpredictable despite the statistical edge for Viking.
Viking vs KFUM Oslo: model vs market
| Source | Viking | Draw | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Published | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.47.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.24, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Viking vs KFUM Oslo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Viking, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | 1.20 | 1.21 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 6.80 | 6.55 | -0.25 |
| KFUM Oslo | 11.00 | 10.50 | -0.50 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Viking and KFUM Oslo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.05
- Attack rating (Viking / KFUM Oslo)
- 1.56 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Viking / KFUM Oslo)
- 0.97 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Viking vs KFUM Oslo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Viking goals. Columns: KFUM Oslo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Viking vs KFUM Oslo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Viking vs KFUM Oslo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.48 | |
| KFUM Oslo | 12% | 8.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.39 |
| No | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Viking or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| X2 (draw or KFUM Oslo) | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win by 2+ | 41% | 2.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Viking and KFUM Oslo recent form
Viking
3W 1D 2L
KFUM Oslo
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Viking at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 12-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 19 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KFUM Oslo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-6
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Viking at home only, KFUM Oslo away only.
Viking vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Viking 5 · draws 1 · KFUM Oslo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | KFUM Oslo | 0-2 | Viking | Eliteserien |
| 2025-09-14 | KFUM Oslo | 2-2 | Viking | Eliteserien |
| 2025-04-06 | Viking | 3-1 | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| 2024-09-14 | Viking | 1-0 | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| 2024-07-07 | KFUM Oslo | 1-2 | Viking | Eliteserien |
| 2024-02-16 | Viking | 1-2 | KFUM Oslo | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-03-19 | KFUM Oslo | 0-5 | Viking | NM Cupen |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Kristiansund BK v Valerenga — match page 2026-11-07
- Rosenborg v Start — match page 2026-11-07
- Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt 2026-11-08
- Lillestrom vs Aalesund — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Sandefjord vs Molde — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Fredrikstad v Brann — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Viking, previous: Viking vs Sabah FA prediction
- Viking, next: Atletico Madrid vs Viking prediction
- KFUM Oslo, previous: KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam prediction
- KFUM Oslo, next: Viking v KFUM Oslo analysis