Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt preview
In the Eliteserien fixture between Tromso and Bodo/Glimt, the 1X2 probabilities show Bodo/Glimt at 42% and Tromso at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 7% chance according to our model. The expected goals indicate Tromso at 1.97 and Bodo/Glimt at 2.10, suggesting a competitive match.
Both teams to score stands at 76%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 77%. Tromso's recent form includes 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, while Bodo/Glimt has 5 wins in their last 6. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt: model vs market
| Source | Tromso | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 22% | 50% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| Published | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| Edge | +4% | +1% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bodo/Glimt, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 6.57 | 7.25 | +0.68 |
| Draw | 5.05 | 5.28 | +0.23 |
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.38 | 1.35 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Tromso and Bodo/Glimt expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.69
- Attack rating (Tromso / Bodo/Glimt)
- 0.94 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Tromso / Bodo/Glimt)
- 1.25 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tromso goals. Columns: Bodo/Glimt goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 17% | 6.04 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.27 | |
| Bodo/Glimt | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.42 |
| No | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tromso or draw) | 36% | 2.82 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Bodo/Glimt) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Tromso and Bodo/Glimt recent form
Tromso
2W 2D 2L
Bodo/Glimt
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tromso at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-1
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 12
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Bodo/Glimt away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-2-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 12
- They have won 18 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Tromso at home only, Bodo/Glimt away only.
Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Tromso 1 · draws 1 · Bodo/Glimt 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Bodo/Glimt | 5-0 | Tromso | Eliteserien |
| 2025-08-09 | Bodo/Glimt | 1-1 | Tromso | Eliteserien |
| 2025-05-16 | Tromso | 2-1 | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
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- Rosenborg v Start — match page 2026-11-07
- Lillestrom vs Aalesund — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Sandefjord vs Molde — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Viking vs KFUM Oslo 2026-11-08
- Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Fredrikstad v Brann — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Tromso, previous: Valerenga vs Tromso: odds and pick
- Bodo/Glimt, previous: Bodo/Glimt vs Lille: odds and pick
- Bodo/Glimt, next: Bodo/Glimt – Lask Linz, 2026-11-24