Fredrikstad vs Brann preview
In the Eliteserien fixture between Fredrikstad and Brann, the 1X2 probabilities show Fredrikstad at 36%, Brann at 40%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 72%, indicating a strong likelihood of an open match.
Fredrikstad's recent form is L-W-L-L-D-D, while Brann has a stronger form with W-W-L-W-L-W. The expected goals are closely matched, with Fredrikstad at 1.89 and Brann at 1.85. Fredrikstad has won 1 of the last 3 encounters against Brann, who has won 2. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Fredrikstad vs Brann: model vs market
| Source | Fredrikstad | Draw | Brann |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Published | 37% | 25% | 39% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Fredrikstad vs Brann odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Brann, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad | 2.66 | 2.61 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.73 | -0.02 |
| Brann | 2.32 | 2.40 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Fredrikstad and Brann expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (Fredrikstad / Brann)
- 1.09 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Fredrikstad / Brann)
- 1.15 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fredrikstad vs Brann score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fredrikstad goals. Columns: Brann goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fredrikstad vs Brann goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fredrikstad vs Brann
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fredrikstad | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Brann | 39% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fredrikstad or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Brann) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Brann win by 2+ | 20% | 5.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Fredrikstad and Brann recent form
Fredrikstad
1W 2D 3L
Brann
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fredrikstad at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-4
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brann away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Fredrikstad at home only, Brann away only.
Fredrikstad vs Brann head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Fredrikstad 1 · draws 0 · Brann 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Brann | 3-1 | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| 2025-09-28 | Brann | 1-0 | Fredrikstad | Eliteserien |
| 2025-03-29 | Fredrikstad | 3-0 | Brann | Eliteserien |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Kristiansund BK v Valerenga — match page 2026-11-07
- Rosenborg v Start — match page 2026-11-07
- Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt 2026-11-08
- Lillestrom vs Aalesund — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Sandefjord vs Molde — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Viking vs KFUM Oslo 2026-11-08
- Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Fredrikstad, previous: Fredrikstad – Rosenborg, 2026-10-31
- Brann, previous: St. Truiden vs Brann prediction
- Brann, next: Brann vs Aarhus prediction