Sport Huancayo vs Universitario preview
Sport Huancayo faces Universitario with a 45% chance of winning compared to 29% for Universitario. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects Sport Huancayo's expected goals of 2.28 against Universitario's 1.33. The high probability of Over 2.5 goals at 70% suggests a potentially high-scoring match, while both teams to score stands at 67%.
However, the recent form shows Sport Huancayo winning their last 5 matches, while Universitario has drawn twice in their last 6 games. In their last 10 encounters, Universitario has 6 wins, which could challenge Sport Huancayo’s current momentum. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario: model vs market
| Source | Sport Huancayo | Draw | Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Published | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sport Huancayo below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sport Huancayo, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-10.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 2.16 | 2.19 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.39 | -0.03 |
| Universitario | 3.02 | 3.00 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sport Huancayo and Universitario expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.61
- Attack rating (Sport Huancayo / Universitario)
- 1.25 / 1.53
- Defence rating (Sport Huancayo / Universitario)
- 0.82 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sport Huancayo goals. Columns: Universitario goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sport Huancayo vs Universitario
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Huancayo | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Universitario | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sport Huancayo or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Universitario) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Huancayo win by 2+ | 37% | 2.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sport Huancayo and Universitario recent form
Sport Huancayo
5W 0D 1L
Universitario
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sport Huancayo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 10-3-3
- Win rate
- 62%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.06
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universitario away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-4
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.44
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 16
- They have won 17 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Sport Huancayo at home only, Universitario away only.
Sport Huancayo vs Universitario head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Sport Huancayo 2 · draws 2 · Universitario 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Universitario | 2-1 | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-08-17 | Sport Huancayo | 1-1 | Universitario | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-03-29 | Universitario | 3-1 | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División |
| 2024-08-11 | Sport Huancayo | 1-1 | Universitario | Primera División |
| 2024-03-02 | Universitario | 2-0 | Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| 2023-10-29 | Universitario | 2-0 | Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| 2023-06-11 | Sport Huancayo | 1-0 | Universitario | Primera División |
| 2022-10-25 | Universitario | 2-0 | Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| 2022-06-26 | Sport Huancayo | 2-0 | Universitario | Primera División |
| 2021-09-26 | Sport Huancayo | 1-3 | Universitario | Primera División |
Other Clausura - 17 fixtures
- Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano 2026-11-14
- Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca — match page 2026-11-14
- Alianza Atletico v FBC Melgar — match page 2026-11-14
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys 2026-11-15
- Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso 2026-11-15
- UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas — team news & stats 2026-11-16
- Cusco vs ADT — team news & stats 2026-11-16
- UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau — match page 2026-11-16
Before and after this match
- Sport Huancayo, previous: Cienciano – Sport Huancayo, 2026-11-08
- Universitario, previous: Universitario v UCV Moquegua analysis