Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu preview
Sporting CP faces Academico Viseu with a 1X2 probability of 72% for Sporting CP, compared to 11% for Academico Viseu. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which occurs at a rate of 11%. Sporting CP has an expected goals figure of 1.91, while Academico Viseu sits at 0.90.
While Sporting CP shows strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, Academico Viseu has been inconsistent, winning 4 of their last 6 but also suffering a loss. The model suggests a 53% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score. If Academico Viseu performs better than expected, these predictions could change.
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu: model vs market
| Source | Sporting CP | Draw | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| Published | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Edge | -16% | +8% | +7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.90.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.26, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sporting CP, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 1.18 | 1.22 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 7.10 | 6.00 | -1.10 |
| Academico Viseu | 14.00 | 10.75 | -3.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sporting CP and Academico Viseu expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (Sporting CP / Academico Viseu)
- 1.65 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Sporting CP / Academico Viseu)
- 0.79 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sporting CP goals. Columns: Academico Viseu goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.71 | |
| Academico Viseu | 10% | 9.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sporting CP or draw) | 90% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Academico Viseu) | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP win by 2+ | 37% | 2.74 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Sporting CP and Academico Viseu recent form
Sporting CP
4W 2D 0L
Academico Viseu
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sporting CP at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Academico Viseu away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sporting CP at home only, Academico Viseu away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Vitória SC vs Maritimo — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Alverca vs Arouca 2026-10-24
- Estrela v Casa Pia — match page 2026-10-24
- GIL Vicente vs FC Porto — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Estoril v Moreirense — match page 2026-10-25
- Nacional vs SC Braga 2026-10-25
- Rio Ave v Famalicao — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Sporting CP, previous: Sporting CP v Lask Linz analysis
- Sporting CP, next: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: odds and pick
- Academico Viseu, previous: Fátima vs Academico Viseu prediction