Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti preview
In the Liga I match between Corvinul Hunedoara and Arges Pitesti, the 1X2 probabilities show Corvinul Hunedoara at 44%, with a likely scoreline of 1-0 at 16%. The expected goals indicate Corvinul Hunedoara at 1.21 and Arges Pitesti at 0.76, suggesting a low-scoring game.
However, the recent form of both teams raises questions. Corvinul Hunedoara has two wins in their last six matches, while Arges Pitesti has not won in their last six, with three draws. The chances of Over 2.5 goals sit at 31%, and both teams to score is at 39%. These figures indicate that while a low-scoring match is expected, surprises can happen.
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti: model vs market
| Source | Corvinul Hunedoara | Draw | Arges Pitesti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 33% | 22% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Published | 44% | 30% | 25% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Corvinul Hunedoara, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corvinul Hunedoara | 2.55 | 2.09 | -0.46 |
| Draw | 2.95 | 3.10 | +0.15 |
| Arges Pitesti | 2.85 | 3.50 | +0.65 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Corvinul Hunedoara and Arges Pitesti expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.96
- Attack rating (Corvinul Hunedoara / Arges Pitesti)
- 0.82 / 0.64
- Defence rating (Corvinul Hunedoara / Arges Pitesti)
- 1.10 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Corvinul Hunedoara goals. Columns: Arges Pitesti goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Arges Pitesti | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.59 |
| No | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Corvinul Hunedoara or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Arges Pitesti) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Corvinul Hunedoara win by 2+ | 20% | 4.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Corvinul Hunedoara and Arges Pitesti recent form
Corvinul Hunedoara
2W 0D 4L
Arges Pitesti
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Corvinul Hunedoara at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Arges Pitesti away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Corvinul Hunedoara at home only, Arges Pitesti away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Rapid vs Csikszereda 2026-10-30
- Petrolul Ploiesti v CFR 1907 Cluj — match page 2026-10-31
- Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — match page 2026-11-01
- Universitatea Craiova v FC Botosani — match page 2026-11-01
- Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta 2026-11-02
- Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Corvinul Hunedoara, previous: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj: odds and pick
- Arges Pitesti, previous: Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad prediction