Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB preview
In the Liga I fixture between Universitatea Cluj and FCSB, the 1X2 probabilities show Universitatea Cluj at 42%, FCSB at 31%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 80% and both teams to score at 74%.
Universitatea Cluj has strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while FCSB has struggled, winning only 3 of their last 6. The expected goals for Universitatea Cluj is 2.78, compared to FCSB's 1.52. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB: model vs market
| Source | Universitatea Cluj | Draw | FCSB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Published | 42% | 24% | 33% |
| Edge | +7% | -2% | -5% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.52.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Universitatea Cluj below our published probability: +6.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.66, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +12.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Universitatea Cluj, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Cluj | 2.60 | 2.63 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.58 | +0.53 |
| FCSB | 2.70 | 2.44 | -0.26 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Universitatea Cluj and FCSB expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.28
- Attack rating (Universitatea Cluj / FCSB)
- 1.46 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Universitatea Cluj / FCSB)
- 1.19 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Universitatea Cluj goals. Columns: FCSB goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitatea Cluj | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| FCSB | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 5.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.35 |
| No | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Universitatea Cluj or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or FCSB) | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitatea Cluj win by 2+ | 44% | 2.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Universitatea Cluj and FCSB recent form
Universitatea Cluj
4W 1D 1L
FCSB
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Universitatea Cluj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
FCSB away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Universitatea Cluj at home only, FCSB away only.
Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Universitatea Cluj 1 · draws 0 · FCSB 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | FCSB | 1-3 | Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| 2025-11-01 | Universitatea Cluj | 0-2 | FCSB | Liga I |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Rapid vs Csikszereda 2026-10-30
- Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Petrolul Ploiesti v CFR 1907 Cluj — match page 2026-10-31
- Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — match page 2026-11-01
- Universitatea Craiova v FC Botosani — match page 2026-11-01
- Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Universitatea Cluj, previous: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj: odds and pick
- FCSB, previous: FCSB vs Rapid prediction