Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad preview
In the Liga I fixture between Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad, the 1X2 probabilities show Dinamo Bucuresti at 66% to win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 13%. Uta Arad has a lower probability of 12% to win, which suggests a strong advantage for Dinamo Bucuresti. However, Uta Arad’s recent form includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, which could challenge the expected outcome.
The model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 45%. Dinamo Bucuresti has expected goals of 1.98, while Uta Arad sits at 0.72. If Uta Arad can improve their attacking performance, it could lead to a different result than anticipated.
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad: model vs market
| Source | Dinamo Bucuresti | Draw | Uta Arad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 66% | 22% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (Dinamo Bucuresti / Uta Arad)
- 1.51 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Dinamo Bucuresti / Uta Arad)
- 0.68 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dinamo Bucuresti goals. Columns: Uta Arad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.46 | |
| Uta Arad | 12% | 8.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dinamo Bucuresti or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Uta Arad) | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Bucuresti win by 2+ | 41% | 2.42 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dinamo Bucuresti at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Uta Arad away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dinamo Bucuresti at home only, Uta Arad away only.
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Dinamo Bucuresti 0 · draws 1 · Uta Arad 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Uta Arad | 2-0 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| 2025-08-15 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 1-1 | Uta Arad | Liga I |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Rapid vs Csikszereda 2026-10-30
- Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Petrolul Ploiesti v CFR 1907 Cluj — match page 2026-10-31
- Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — match page 2026-11-01
- Universitatea Craiova v FC Botosani — match page 2026-11-01
- FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta 2026-11-02
- Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Dinamo Bucuresti, previous: CFR 1907 Cluj – Dinamo Bucuresti, 2026-10-25
- Uta Arad, previous: Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad prediction