Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti preview
In the Liga I fixture between Arges Pitesti and Dinamo Bucuresti, the 1X2 probabilities show Dinamo Bucuresti at 63%, compared to Arges Pitesti's 11%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Dinamo's expected goals of 1.64 against Arges' 0.54.
Arges Pitesti's recent form is concerning, with 4 losses and only 1 draw in their last 5 matches. In contrast, Dinamo Bucuresti is in strong form, winning 6 consecutive matches. While the model suggests a low chance for Over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 35%, an unexpected turnaround in Arges' performance could challenge these predictions.
Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti: model vs market
| Source | Arges Pitesti | Draw | Dinamo Bucuresti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11% | 26% | 63% |
| Market | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Published | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Arges Pitesti and Dinamo Bucuresti expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.19
- Attack rating (Arges Pitesti / Dinamo Bucuresti)
- 0.57 / 1.52
- Defence rating (Arges Pitesti / Dinamo Bucuresti)
- 1.01 / 0.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Arges Pitesti goals. Columns: Dinamo Bucuresti goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arges Pitesti | 16% | 6.13 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | |
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.87 |
| No | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Arges Pitesti or draw) | 41% | 2.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Dinamo Bucuresti) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Bucuresti win by 2+ | 36% | 2.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Arges Pitesti and Dinamo Bucuresti recent form
Arges Pitesti
0W 2D 4L
Dinamo Bucuresti
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arges Pitesti at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.57
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Bucuresti away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-1
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 10 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Arges Pitesti at home only, Dinamo Bucuresti away only.
Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Arges Pitesti 5 · draws 2 · Dinamo Bucuresti 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 2-1 | Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| 2026-04-04 | Arges Pitesti | 1-1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| 2026-03-01 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 0-1 | Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| 2025-10-24 | Arges Pitesti | 1-1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| 2023-06-03 | Arges Pitesti | 4-2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| 2023-05-29 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 6-1 | Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| 2022-01-21 | Arges Pitesti | 2-1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| 2021-10-26 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 1-2 | Arges Pitesti | Cupa României |
| 2021-08-28 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 0-2 | Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| 2021-05-16 | Arges Pitesti | 1-2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Uta Arad v Petrolul Ploiesti — match page 2026-11-06
- Csikszereda v Universitatea Cluj — match page 2026-11-07
- Farul Constanta vs Rapid 2026-11-07
- FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara 2026-11-07
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari 2026-11-08
- CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Craiova — match page 2026-11-08
- FC Botosani vs Oţelul — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Arges Pitesti, previous: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti: odds and pick
- Dinamo Bucuresti, previous: Dinamo Bucuresti – Uta Arad, 2026-11-01