Farul Constanta vs Rapid preview
In the Liga I fixture between Farul Constanta and Rapid, the 1X2 probabilities show Rapid at 44% to win, while Farul Constanta sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. With expected goals of 1.64 for Farul Constanta and 1.70 for Rapid, both teams are likely to contribute to the scoreline.
The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 67%. However, Farul Constanta's recent form shows inconsistency with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance against a more stable Rapid side that has won five consecutive games.
Farul Constanta vs Rapid: model vs market
| Source | Farul Constanta | Draw | Rapid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Published | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -2% |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Farul Constanta vs Rapid odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rapid, 25 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farul Constanta | 3.60 | 3.23 | -0.38 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.30 | -0.28 |
| Rapid | 1.98 | 2.10 | +0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Farul Constanta and Rapid expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.25
- Attack rating (Farul Constanta / Rapid)
- 1.25 / 1.27
- Defence rating (Farul Constanta / Rapid)
- 1.18 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Farul Constanta vs Rapid score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Farul Constanta goals. Columns: Rapid goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Farul Constanta vs Rapid goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Farul Constanta vs Rapid
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farul Constanta | 31% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Rapid | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.53 |
| No | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Farul Constanta or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Rapid) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid win by 2+ | 19% | 5.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Farul Constanta and Rapid recent form
Farul Constanta
4W 0D 2L
Rapid
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Farul Constanta at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Rapid away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 9 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Farul Constanta at home only, Rapid away only.
Farul Constanta vs Rapid head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Farul Constanta 4 · draws 2 · Rapid 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Farul Constanta | 3-1 | Rapid | Liga I |
| 2025-10-04 | Rapid | 3-1 | Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| 2025-02-24 | Farul Constanta | 1-3 | Rapid | Liga I |
| 2024-10-21 | Rapid | 5-0 | Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| 2024-04-24 | Farul Constanta | 3-1 | Rapid | Liga I |
| 2024-03-15 | Rapid | 1-2 | Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| 2023-12-20 | Farul Constanta | 0-0 | Rapid | Liga I |
| 2023-08-20 | Rapid | 3-1 | Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| 2023-05-06 | Farul Constanta | 7-2 | Rapid | Liga I |
| 2023-04-01 | Rapid | 1-1 | Farul Constanta | Liga I |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Uta Arad v Petrolul Ploiesti — match page 2026-11-06
- Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Csikszereda v Universitatea Cluj — match page 2026-11-07
- FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara 2026-11-07
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari 2026-11-08
- CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Craiova — match page 2026-11-08
- FC Botosani vs Oţelul — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Farul Constanta, previous: FC Voluntari v Farul Constanta analysis
- Rapid, previous: Rapid – Csikszereda, 2026-10-30