Updated

Liga I · Matchday 15

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari

· Stadionul Sepsi, Sfantu Gheorghe

Alin prediction Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDrawFC Voluntari
  • WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe2.11 Draw3.40 FC Voluntari3.45

Price as of

Expected return at 2.11: -6.7% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari preview

In the Liga I match between Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FC Voluntari, the 1X2 probabilities show Sepsi OSK at 47%, with a likely scoreline of 1-0 at 10%. The expected goals for Sepsi OSK is 1.42, while FC Voluntari has 1.15. Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides.

Recent form highlights a struggle for both teams, with Sepsi OSK having D-L-D-L-L-W in their last five matches, while FC Voluntari has L-L-L-L-L-W. This could affect the outcome, as FC Voluntari's poor form might limit their scoring opportunities, despite the model suggesting a competitive match.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDrawFC Voluntari
Model42%29%29%
Market45%28%27%
Published44%28%28%
Edge-1%0%0%
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 25 snapshots since 2026-10-25.

Opened 1.90Now 2.07 +0.17
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1.902.07+0.17
Draw3.553.34-0.21
FC Voluntari3.923.40-0.52

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FC Voluntari expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.40Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.12FC Voluntari
Total expected goals
2.52
Attack rating (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe / FC Voluntari)
0.64 / 0.88
Defence rating (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe / FC Voluntari)
1.19 / 1.45

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.3% 7.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.7% 1 10.0% 13.9% 7.1% 2.6% 0.9% 2 7.9% 8.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.7% 3 3.7% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 4+ 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals. Columns: FC Voluntari goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 25%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe44%2.26
Draw28%3.56
FC Voluntari28%3.61
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.17
Under 2.554%1.86
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.92
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe or draw)72%1.38
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or FC Voluntari)56%1.79
Handicap -1Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win by 2+21%4.83
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FC Voluntari recent form

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1W 2D 3L
FC Voluntari 0W 0D 6L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.83
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 13 matches.

FC Voluntari away

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-6
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.83
Goals against / match
3.17
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe at home only, FC Voluntari away only.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1 · draws 1 · FC Voluntari 1.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDrawsFC Voluntari
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-12FC Voluntari2-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga II
2026-04-15Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1-1FC VoluntariLiga II
2025-11-04FC Voluntari1-2Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga II

Other Matchday 15 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Our pick: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win 18+ Bet Now